Wednesday, March 3, 2010
Tuesday, March 2, 2010
K-9 System
Out of consideration to anyone that may be influenced in any way by the information I post, I have decided to stop displaying the NBA information. Considering the "K-9" is a brand new system, I don't have any track record to know if the tighter lines later in the NBA season will have an impact on the results. None of my systems have been affected to this point. I stopped posting baseball in the final month and it ended up going 12-3 in September, continuing a torrid 80% pace on the filtered plays. I expect hockey to continue winning as well since it mostly follows the same concept as baseball. But this is virgin territory for basketball, and I'd rather err on the side of caution and have people miss out on making money than possibly enter into diluted value and lose money.
What an exciting debut for this K-9 System. I worked extremely hard this year to find something successful for the NBA, arguably the toughest league to cap. My original system wasn't good enough, quite frankly, and I busted my tail to produce something closer to what I expect in terms of production. I didn't expect it to go this well. Through the first 100 or so games, the results are the highest for any mechanical, stats-based system I've seen on the internet for either football or basketball, both 50% propositions. To be over 70% ATS most of the way and maintain that until these last few days is very encouraging for next season which we will be starting in November as opposed to January.
I will still be doing the work every day so I know what happens in March and April for next year. I personally think there's still a lot of wins left in this season. Add to that fact, we still never had a losing week. 7-6-1 last week and that's with two really bad beats with Detroit. Swing those around and we go 9-4-1 (69%). Last night as well, the two losing picks just missed being filtered out so with the slightest tweak to the filters, those two plays might be eliminated next year. Because of these things, I still think it's strong enough to continue till the end of the season but I just don't want to take that chance. No need to. We have hockey resuming from the Olympic break and baseball right around the corner where I expect 60-100 units of profit. By next season, the K-9 will only be better after I analyze these results in the offseason.
Feedback is always welcome and appreciated.
What an exciting debut for this K-9 System. I worked extremely hard this year to find something successful for the NBA, arguably the toughest league to cap. My original system wasn't good enough, quite frankly, and I busted my tail to produce something closer to what I expect in terms of production. I didn't expect it to go this well. Through the first 100 or so games, the results are the highest for any mechanical, stats-based system I've seen on the internet for either football or basketball, both 50% propositions. To be over 70% ATS most of the way and maintain that until these last few days is very encouraging for next season which we will be starting in November as opposed to January.
I will still be doing the work every day so I know what happens in March and April for next year. I personally think there's still a lot of wins left in this season. Add to that fact, we still never had a losing week. 7-6-1 last week and that's with two really bad beats with Detroit. Swing those around and we go 9-4-1 (69%). Last night as well, the two losing picks just missed being filtered out so with the slightest tweak to the filters, those two plays might be eliminated next year. Because of these things, I still think it's strong enough to continue till the end of the season but I just don't want to take that chance. No need to. We have hockey resuming from the Olympic break and baseball right around the corner where I expect 60-100 units of profit. By next season, the K-9 will only be better after I analyze these results in the offseason.
Feedback is always welcome and appreciated.
Monday, March 1, 2010
NBA basketball picks 3/1
Week 1...14-6-0...70%...+7.4
Week 2...17-4-1...81%...+12.6
Week 3...12-3-1...80%...+8.7
Week 4...10-5-2...67%...+4.5
Week 5...6-4-0...60%...+1.6
Week 6...5-4-0...56%...+0.6
Week 7...7-6-1...54%...+0.4
Total...71-32-5...69%...+35.8
All seven weeks have shown a profit. End of week shows 7-6-1. Far below the average but if you look closely, Detroit doesn't choke in those two games in the final seconds and we're 9-4-1, so there can be a fine line between success and failure when you're only talking 13 games, especially in the crazy NBA, but the system still seems strong heading into March. February was 28-19-3. I like how it's being more selective now that the lines are tightening up. Imagine the profit potential when we start this at the beginning of the season next year.
K-9 system tracking - Day 46
71-32-5.....68.9%....+35.8 units in 45 days (DAL,NY,PHI)
Super System (S.S.) tracking - Day 19
50-30-2.....62.5%....+17.0 units in 18 days
*teams listed with point spreads are conditional and need that minimum line to qualify
-Qualifying K-9 edge teams are dogs closing at +2.5 or more assuming the filters don't say "no"
-Gold Rush subset is margins of 15+ lined at -3 or better
-K-9 line shows team with advantage based on the system's point spreads. Lines in red oppose the K-9 and are eliminated. The advantage comes from the difference when compared to the actual spread and the results have been as follows:
diff.....results.....%
1.5+...56-46-2....55%
5.0+...23-11-0....68%
9.0+...5-0-0....100%
"Gold Rush" subset (K-9 margin of 15+)
spread -3 or better....13-2-3...87%...(10-1-3 filtered)
spread +2.5 or better....8-2-2...80%...(7-1-2 filtered)
spread +6 or better....6-1-1...86%...(5-1-1 filtered)
TODAY
YTD.....78-67-7.....53.8%
43-27-4 (61.4%) since changes on 1/8
(all regular K-9 plays recommended at +2.5 or better; Gold Rush plays at -3)
Dallas +3
New York +11
Philadelphia +4.5
Week 2...17-4-1...81%...+12.6
Week 3...12-3-1...80%...+8.7
Week 4...10-5-2...67%...+4.5
Week 5...6-4-0...60%...+1.6
Week 6...5-4-0...56%...+0.6
Week 7...7-6-1...54%...+0.4
Total...71-32-5...69%...+35.8
All seven weeks have shown a profit. End of week shows 7-6-1. Far below the average but if you look closely, Detroit doesn't choke in those two games in the final seconds and we're 9-4-1, so there can be a fine line between success and failure when you're only talking 13 games, especially in the crazy NBA, but the system still seems strong heading into March. February was 28-19-3. I like how it's being more selective now that the lines are tightening up. Imagine the profit potential when we start this at the beginning of the season next year.
K-9 system tracking - Day 46
71-32-5.....68.9%....+35.8 units in 45 days (DAL,NY,PHI)
Super System (S.S.) tracking - Day 19
50-30-2.....62.5%....+17.0 units in 18 days
*teams listed with point spreads are conditional and need that minimum line to qualify
-Qualifying K-9 edge teams are dogs closing at +2.5 or more assuming the filters don't say "no"
-Gold Rush subset is margins of 15+ lined at -3 or better
-K-9 line shows team with advantage based on the system's point spreads. Lines in red oppose the K-9 and are eliminated. The advantage comes from the difference when compared to the actual spread and the results have been as follows:
diff.....results.....%
1.5+...56-46-2....55%
5.0+...23-11-0....68%
9.0+...5-0-0....100%
"Gold Rush" subset (K-9 margin of 15+)
spread -3 or better....13-2-3...87%...(10-1-3 filtered)
spread +2.5 or better....8-2-2...80%...(7-1-2 filtered)
spread +6 or better....6-1-1...86%...(5-1-1 filtered)
TODAY
YTD.....78-67-7.....53.8%
43-27-4 (61.4%) since changes on 1/8
(all regular K-9 plays recommended at +2.5 or better; Gold Rush plays at -3)
Dallas +3
New York +11
Philadelphia +4.5
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