Sunday, December 28, 2014

NFL
Last week: 0-2


Documented forum record

Overall:  341-269-19  (56%) ATS

2002:  58-47-4  (55%)
2003:  32-23-1  (58%)
2004:  58-64-1  (48%)
2005:  48-34-3  (59%)
2006:  34-29-3  (54%)
2007:  34-24-4  (59%)
2012:  31-19-2  (62%)
2013:  26-11-1  (70%)
2014:  20-18-0  (53%)  +$1,468.....ROI:  +6.5%

Overall breakdown:
Sides:  326-260-19  (56%).....avg line:  -108
Teasers:  14-9  (64%).....avg line:  -106
Futures:  1-0  (100%).....avg line:  -155


Week 17

Denver -14 -102  ($510 to win $500)

Those that have known me over the years probably just did a double take. Primarily a dog player, this is the first time I've laid double digits in a long time but the situation is good for the Broncos; needing a win to secure a 1st-round bye and looking to go into that bye with a better feeling than they had after Monday night's ugly loss on national TV.

Arizona +6.5 +100  ($500 to win $500)

Going to the well once again with the Cardinals, who have taken my money on consecutive weeks. They are in a lot of good bounce-back situations this week and San Fran hasn't exactly earned the right to be favored by nearly a TD.

San Diego +3 -108  ($540 to win $500)

Washington +6.5 -108  ($540 to win $500)

10-pt. teaser, ties reduce, -120  ($600 to win $500)
Pittsburgh +6.5
Seattle -1.5
Denver -4

I'm down to 9-7 on teasers this year but still profitable. Looking to wrap up my Denver future as well with a win.


Futures - Regular Season wins

Denver o11.5 +105  ($2500 to win $2625)
New England o10.5 -155  ($2500 to win $1613) - WON

Sunday, December 21, 2014

NFL
Last week: 1-2


Documented forum record

Overall:  340-267-19  (56%) ATS

2002:  58-47-4  (55%)
2003:  32-23-1  (58%)
2004:  58-64-1  (48%)
2005:  48-34-3  (59%)
2006:  34-29-3  (54%)
2007:  34-24-4  (59%)
2012:  31-19-2  (62%)
2013:  26-11-1  (70%)
2014:  19-16-0  (54%)  +$2,533.....ROI:  +11.8%

Overall breakdown:
Sides:  326-259-19  (56%).....avg line:  -108
Teasers:  14-8  (64%).....avg line:  -106


Week 16

Arizona +7.5 -108  ($565 to win $500)

7-pt. teaser, ties reduce, +125  ($500 to win $625)
Green Bay -4
Indianapolis +10.5
New England -3

Looking for the Cardinals to cover this game with mostly defense in what should be a low-scoring matchup. The birds are at home, both teams should be plenty motivated, and I would be shocked to see Arizona ask Lindley to do much at all. Expect to see some packages for backup QB Thomas as well.

I added the money for my New England future in my season profit but not counted in the win-loss record.


Futures - Regular Season wins

Denver o11.5 +105  ($2500 to win $2625)
New England o10.5 -155  ($2500 to win $1613) - WON (not counted in W/L record)

Sunday, December 14, 2014

NFL
Week 13:  1-0
Week 14:  1-1


Documented forum record

Overall:  339-265-19  (56%) ATS

2002:  58-47-4  (55%)
2003:  32-23-1  (58%)
2004:  58-64-1  (48%)
2005:  48-34-3  (59%)
2006:  34-29-3  (54%)
2007:  34-24-4  (59%)
2012:  31-19-2  (62%)
2013:  26-11-1  (70%)
2014:  18-14-0  (56%)  +$1,510.....ROI:  +8.7%

Overall breakdown:
Sides:  326-258-19  (56%).....avg line:  -108
Teasers:  13-7  (65%).....avg line:  -106



Week 15

Washington +7 -113  ($565 to win $500)

6-pt. teaser, ties win, -105  ($525 to win $500)
Indianapolis -1.5
Detroit -3

10-pt. teaser, ties reduce, -115  ($575 to win $500)
Kansas City Pk
Baltimore -3.5
Seattle +0.5

This is the third consecutive challenging week in my opinion. Not a lot jumping off the page. Complimenting my one side with two teasers at standard odds, which I am 8-5 (63%) on this year and 13-7 in two years at -106 average odds.


Futures - Regular Season wins

Denver o11.5 +105  ($2500 to win $2625)
New England o10.5 -155  ($2500 to win $1613)