NBA

Yesterday: 1-2

Couldn't get the Clippers to pull out that late see-saw game. Now 6-11 since the ASB (I forgot my win last Thursday when I posted that record yesterday).


YTD:  38-35-1  (52%)  +1.05 units

Breakdown:
Sides:  20-17-1  +2.24 units
Totals:  16-18  -3.19 units
Teasers:  2-0  +2.00 units

	ACTUAL LINE vs MY LINE (VALUE)
matchups	cat	act line	my line	side val	totl val	effcncy	move
Golden State	10	204.0	200.4			9.23	(2.16)
Washington	6	7.0	-1.1	8.1	3.6	0.51	(0.43)
Cleveland	8	205.5	200.7			4.30	4.22
Detroit	6	6.5	0.0	6.5	4.8	1.01	0.93
Indiana	5	205.0	196.9	0.4		-0.68	1.09
Oklahoma City	8	-7.5	-7.1		8.1	4.32	0.74
Toronto	7	204.5	202.2			2.23	(0.30)
Dallas	7	-4.5	-4.6	0.1	2.3	3.04	(0.84)

Today's plays  (all plays for 1 unit)

GS/Was Under 204 -108

5-pt. teaser, ties reduce -110
Golden State -3 (won on Friday)
Open Spot (pending)

NBA

Yesterday: 1-2

Have resumed from the All-Star break at a 4-9 clip. Happened to be the worst week of the season and my most plays in a four day stretch at thirteen. Will have to go a little lighter on the plays following the ASB in the future as a lack of continuity seems to happen often enough in all sports. At least I lowered my units to 60% of full value because I was concerned about it as I mentioned back on Saturday. Still at 60% going into tonight. "My line" side plays with value of 0.5+ went 4-4 and still over 57% ATS over every scheduled game.


YTD:  37-33-1  (53%)  +2.15 units

Breakdown:
Sides:  19-15-1  +3.34 units
Totals:  16-18  -3.19 units
Teasers:  2-0  +2.00 units

	ACTUAL LINE vs MY LINE (VALUE)
matchups	cat	act line	my line	side val	totl val	effcncy	move
Philadelphia	1	193.5	187.9	3.7		-8.98	2.58
Miami	4	-11.0	-7.3		5.6	-2.13	2.00
Toronto	7	195.0	198.3		3.3	2.67	0.29
New Orleans	5	7.5	-0.4	7.9		-0.02	(1.80)
Milwaukee	7	193.5	194.9	7.1	1.4	3.49	1.79
Chicago	6	-7.0	0.1			1.80	(0.29)
Minnesota	2	213.0	201.8	1.2		-6.59	2.74
Houston	8	-8.0	-6.8		11.2	4.48	1.63
San Antonio	7	186.5	195.1		8.6	3.05	0.06
Utah	6	5.5	-1.2	6.7		0.28	2.47
Boston	4	212.5	203.4	2.3		-2.60	(1.08)
Phoenix	6	-8.0	-5.7		9.1	0.58	(2.25)
Brooklyn	3	205.0	199.5			-4.86	(2.76)
Denver	3	2.0	-3.2	5.2	5.5	-4.53	(0.91)
Memphis	8	201.0	202.7		1.7	4.24	2.38
LA Clippers	9	-3.5	-7.4	3.9		6.81	(0.64)

Today's plays  (all plays for 1 unit)

Milwaukee +7 -108
Utah +5.5 -107
LA Clippers -3.5 -102

5-pt. teaser, ties reduce -110
Golden State -3 (won on Friday)
Open Spot (pending)

Analyzing the NBA

Going to post this at the beginning of each new week. This is how my numbers view the NBA at the current time, sorted by efficiency scores and also including "move" which is what direction the team is heading and category numbers that I group each team into (1-10).

	team	W	L	efficiency	move	category
1	Golden State	43	9	9.20	(1.94)	10
2	LA Clippers	37	19	6.77	(0.67)	9
3	Atlanta	43	12	6.68	(0.88)	9
4	Houston	37	18	4.45	1.61	8
5	Memphis	39	14	4.12	2.05	8
6	Cleveland	34	22	4.02	4.01	8
7	Oklahoma City	30	25	3.82	(0.34)	7
8	Milwaukee	31	23	3.53	2.67	7
9	San Antonio	34	21	3.04	0.05	7
10	Dallas	37	20	2.87	(1.32)	7
11	Toronto	37	18	2.61	0.23	7
12	Portland	36	18	2.41	(1.70)	7
13	Chicago	35	21	1.80	(0.29)	6
14	Washington	33	22	0.74	(0.07)	6
15	Phoenix	29	27	0.56	(2.28)	6
16	Detroit	22	33	0.42	(0.09)	6
17	Utah	20	34	0.23	2.42	6
18	New Orleans	28	27	(0.08)	(1.86)	5
19	Indiana	22	33	(0.77)	0.66	5
20	Charlotte	22	31	(1.75)	(0.66)	5
21	Miami	23	31	(2.13)	2.00	4
22	Boston	20	32	(2.36)	(0.93)	4
23	Denver	20	34	(3.80)	(0.13)	4
24	Brooklyn	22	31	(4.93)	(2.83)	3
25	Sacramento	19	35	(4.93)	(2.68)	3
26	Orlando	18	39	(5.62)	0.01	3
27	LA Lakers	13	41	(5.97)	(1.90)	3
28	Minnesota	12	42	(6.62)	2.71	2
29	New York	10	44	(8.90)	(0.22)	1
30	Philadelphia	12	42	(9.72)	2.04	1
Better than their record
Oklahoma City Thunder (14th in wins, 7th in efficiency)
Milwaukee Bucks (13th in wins, 8th in efficiency)
Utah Jazz (22nd in wins, 17th in efficiency)
Worse than their record
Miami Heat (17th in wins, 21st in efficiency)
Chicago Bulls (9th in wins, 13th in efficiency)
Portland Trailblazers (8th in wins, 12th in efficiency)
Toronto Raptors (7th in wins, 11th in efficiency)
Dallas Mavericks (6th in wins, 10th in efficiency)
Hottest teams: Cleveland Cavaliers, Minnesota Timberwolves, Milwaukee Bucks
Coldest teams: Brooklyn Nets, Sacramento Kings, Phoenix Suns

NBA

Yesterday: 1-1

Split the two games yesterday. My line went 3-2 on sides (3-1 at a "side val" of 0.5+).


YTD:  36-31-1  (54%)  +3.22 units

Breakdown:
Sides:  18-13-1  +4.41 units
Totals:  16-18  -3.19 units
Teasers:  2-0  +2.00 units

	ACTUAL LINE vs MY LINE (VALUE)
matchups		act line	my line	side val	totl val	effcncy	move
Cleveland		197.5	194.8			4.02	4.01
New York		16.5	4.8	11.7	2.7	-8.90	(0.22)
Atlanta		194.5	192.5			6.68	(0.88)
Milwaukee		5.0	0.4	4.6	2.0	3.53	2.67
Washington		195.0	199.0		4.0	0.74	(0.07)
Detroit		2.0	-2.8	4.8		0.42	(0.09)
Philadelphia		188.0	191.4	3.4	3.4	-9.72	2.04
Orlando		-9.0	-5.6			-5.62	0.01
Golden State		206.0	201.1			9.20	(1.94)
Indiana		6.0	3.2	2.8	4.9	-0.77	0.66
Denver		210.5	203.7	2.2		-3.80	(0.13)
Oklahoma City		-10.5	-8.3		6.8	3.82	(0.34)
Charlotte		198.5	197.5	4.0		-1.75	(0.66)
Dallas		-10.0	-6.0		1.0	2.87	(1.32)
Memphis		192.5	196.9	0.9	4.4	4.12	2.05
Portland		-4.0	-3.1			2.41	(1.70)
Boston		201.5	197.9			-2.36	(0.93)
LA Lakers		3.0	-1.0	4.0	3.6	-5.97	(1.90)

Today's plays  (all plays for 1 unit)

Milwaukee +5 -102
Detroit +2 -109
Charlotte +10 -105

5-pt. teaser, ties reduce -110
Golden State -3 (won on Friday)
Open Spot (pending)