NBA basketball picks 2/28

A rollercoaster week finds us at 6-5 after the 0-2 last night. The Detroit Pistons, for the second time this week, turn an easy win into a loss in the final seconds.

visitor home edge margin filter 1 filter 2 filter 3 K-9 line S.S.*
pho …. sa …. sa …. 17 …. …. …. …. pho Pk ….
den …. lal …. lal …. 9 …. yes …. …. …. den +5 ….
mil …. atl …. mil …. 6 …. …. …. …. mil -1 …. mil
was …. nj …. was …. 6 …. …. …. …. nj -3 …. nj +2
tor …. okc …. okc …. 8 …. yes …. yes …. …. tor +7.5 ….
mia …. orl …. mia …. 5 …. …. …. …. mia +9 …. mia
lac …. sac …. lac …. 6 …. no …. no …. no …. sac -7.5 …. sac
no …. dal …. no …. 1 …. …. …. …. no +4.5 …. no


K-9 system tracking - Day 45

70-31-4.....69.3%....+35.9 units in 44 days (MIL,MIA,NO)


Super System (S.S.) tracking - Day 18
48-29-1.....62.3%....+16.1 units in 17 days
*teams listed with point spreads are conditional and need that minimum line to qualify

-Qualifying K-9 edge teams are dogs closing at +2.5 or more assuming the filters don't say "no"
-Gold Rush subset is margins of 15+ lined at -3 or better
-K-9 line shows team with advantage based on the system's point spreads. Lines in red oppose the K-9 and are eliminated. The advantage comes from the difference when compared to the actual spread and the results have been as follows:

diff.....results.....%
1.5+...53-44-1....55%
5.0+...22-11-0....67%
9.0+...4-0-0....100%


"Gold Rush" subset (K-9 margin of 15+)

spread -3 or better....13-2-3...87%...(10-1-3 filtered)
spread +2.5 or better....8-2-2...80%...(7-1-2 filtered)
spread +6 or better....6-1-1...86%...(5-1-1 filtered)



TODAY

YTD.....77-66-6.....53.8%
42-26-3 (61.8%) since changes on 1/8

(all regular K-9 plays recommended at +2.5 or better; Gold Rush plays at -3)

Milwaukee +8.5
Miami +12.5
New Orleans +8

NBA basketball picks 2/27

2-0 last night on the K-9 and 6-2 in the Super System.

visitor home edge margin filter 1 filter 2 filter 3 K-9 line S.S.*
nj …. bos …. bos …. 4 …. …. …. …. bos -11 ….
mil …. mia …. mil …. 10 …. yes …. yes …. yes …. mia -4.5 ….
chi …. ind …. chi …. 7 …. yes …. yes …. yes …. chi +0.5 …. chi
mem …. ny …. mem …. 2 …. no …. no …. no …. ny -4.5 …. ny
por …. min …. por …. 5 …. yes …. …. …. min +1 ….
hou …. uta …. hou …. 3 …. no …. …. no …. hou +8.5 ….
det …. gs …. det …. 5 …. yes …. …. yes …. det +3 …. det


K-9 system tracking - Day 44

70-29-4.....70.7%....+38.1 units in 43 days (CHI,DET)


Super System (S.S.) tracking
48-26-1.....64.9%....+19.4 units in 16 days
*teams listed with point spreads are conditional and need that minimum line to qualify

-Qualifying K-9 edge teams are dogs closing at +2.5 or more assuming the filters don't say "no"
-Gold Rush subset is margins of 15+ lined at -3 or better
-K-9 line shows team with advantage based on the system's point spreads. Lines in red oppose the K-9 and are eliminated. The advantage comes from the difference when compared to the actual spread and the results have been as follows:

diff.....results.....%
all.....61-45-2....58%
5.0+...22-10-0....69%
9.0+...4-0-0....100%


"Gold Rush" subset (K-9 margin of 15+)

spread -3 or better....13-2-3...87%...(10-1-3 filtered)
spread +2.5 or better....8-2-2...80%...(7-1-2 filtered)
spread +6 or better....6-1-1...86%...(5-1-1 filtered)



TODAY

YTD.....77-64-6.....54.6%
42-24-3 (63.6%) since changes on 1/8

(all regular K-9 plays recommended at +2.5 or better; Gold Rush plays at -3)

Chicago +3.5
Detroit +4.5

NBA basketball picks 2/26

Thanks to the Milwaukee "Gold Rush" play of -1 last night, I realized I've been cheating the K-9 system out of four wins and a tie. For some reason, I hadn't recorded any of the Gold Rush plays lined between -3 and +2 (5-0-1 now), which are always listed below. The Gold Rush is a subset of the K-9 and the only situation where spreads of -3 or better are allowed due to the 15+ margin. Documentation is provided on the results history page of this blog if interested.

visitor home edge margin filter 1 filter 2 filter 3 K-9 line S.S.*
cle …. tor …. cle …. 1 …. …. …. …. tor +2.5 ….
ny …. was …. was …. 3 …. no …. …. …. was -6.5 …. was-1.5
dal …. atl …. dal …. 3 …. yes …. …. …. atl -3.5 …. dal
por …. chi …. por …. 3 …. yes …. no …. no …. chi -5.5 …. chi
cha …. mem …. mem …. 8 …. no …. no …. …. cha +2 ….
min …. okc …. okc …. 9 …. yes …. yes …. yes …. okc -13 …. okc
sa …. hou …. sa …. 8 …. …. …. …. hou -3 …. hou
det …. den …. det …. 4 …. …. no …. …. den -11.5 ….
lac …. pho …. lac …. 7 …. …. no …. no …. pho -17.5 …. pho
orl …. no …. no …. 4 …. …. …. no +3.5 …. no
uta …. sac …. uta …. 6 …. yes …. yes …. yes …. uta -9.5 …. uta
phi …. lal …. lal …. 10 …. …. …. …. phi +10.5 ….


K-9 system tracking - Day 43

68-29-4.....70.1%....+36.1 units in 42 days (DAL,NO)


Super System (S.S.) tracking
42-24-1.....63.6%....+15.6 units in 15 days
*teams listed with point spreads are conditional and need that minimum line to qualify

-Qualifying K-9 edge teams are dogs closing at +2.5 or more assuming the filters don't say "no"
-Gold Rush subset is margins of 15+ lined at -3 or better
-K-9 line shows team with advantage based on the system's point spreads. Lines in red oppose the K-9 and are eliminated. The advantage comes from the difference when compared to the actual spread and the results have been as follows:

diff.....results.....%
all.....54-41-2....57%
5.0+...20-9-0....69%
9.0+...4-0-0....100%


"Gold Rush" subset (K-9 margin of 15+)

spread -3 or better....13-2-3...87%...(10-1-3 filtered)
spread +2.5 or better....8-2-2...80%...(7-1-2 filtered)
spread +6 or better....6-1-1...86%...(5-1-1 filtered)



TODAY

YTD.....75-64-6.....54.0%
40-24-3 (62.5%) since changes on 1/8

(all regular K-9 plays recommended at +2.5 or better; Gold Rush plays at -3)

Dallas +3.5
New Orleans +5

could add another later...

NBA basketball picks 2/25

Detroit turns a wire-to-wire win into a loss in the final seconds. Tough night all around.

away . home . edge . margin . filter1 . filter2 . filter3 . K9 line . S.S.*
mil …. ind …. mil …. 19 …. yes …. …. …. mil -5 …. mil -0
cle …. bos …. bos …. 4 …. …. …. yes …. bos +1 …. bos
den …. gs …. den …. 2 …. …. …. …. gs +3.5 ….


K-9 system tracking - Day 42

63-28-3.....69.2%....+32.2 units in 41 days (BOS)


Super System (S.S.) tracking
42-23-1.....64.6%....+16.7 units in 14 days
*teams listed with point spreads are conditional and need that minimum line to qualify

-Qualifying K-9 edge teams are dogs closing at +2.5 or more assuming the filters don't say "no"
-Gold Rush subset is margins of 15+ lined at -3 or better
-K-9 line shows team with advantage based on the system's point spreads. Lines in red oppose the K-9 and are eliminated. The advantage comes from the difference when compared to the actual spread and the results have been as follows:

diff.....results.....%
all.....53-39-2....58%
5.0+...20-9-0....69%
9.0+...4-0-0....100%


"Gold Rush" subset (K-9 margin of 15+)

spread -3 or better....12-2-3...86%...(9-1-3 filtered) (MIL)
spread +2.5 or better....8-2-2...80%...(7-1-2 filtered)
spread +6 or better....6-1-1...86%...(5-1-1 filtered)



TODAY

YTD.....74-63-6.....54.0%
39-23-3 (62.9%) since changes on 1/8

(all plays recommended at +2.5 or better; if no line given it will be posted later)

Boston +2.5
Milwaukee -1 (Gold Rush play)

NBA picks 2/24

2-0 last night for the K9 and the expanded "Super System" goes 3-1. One note about the "S.S." is that I go by the closing line at covers to make everything official, so plays are subject to change after I post and you have to do your own checkup there. For example, I had five games posted for it yesterday but New Jersey needed to close at +8 to qualify and didn't and the Lakers got eliminated because the line closed at -5.5 giving Memphis the edge on the point spread and cancelling out the filter recommendation. To try to make things easier, I've included the S.S. section on the chart with the minimum lines needed to qualify on the close ones.

visitor . home . edge . margin . filter 1 . filter 2 . filter 3 . K-9 line . S.S.*
min …. atl …. atl …. 2 …. …. …. …. atl -12 ….
por …. tor …. por …. 11 …. yes …. …. no …. tor -6 …. tor
mem …. was …. was …. 1 …. …. …. …. was -2.5 ….
ind …. chi …. chi …. 10 …. yes …. …. …. ind +7 ….
no …. mil …. mil …. 8 …. yes …. yes …. yes …. no +5.5 …. mil -5.5
orl …. hou …. hou …. 10 …. …. …. …. hou +3 …. hou
okc …. sa …. sa …. 11 …. no …. no …. no …. okc -0.5 …. okc+4.5
lal …. dal …. lal …. 6 …. yes …. yes …. yes …. lal +1.5 ….
phi …. pho …. phi …. 6 …. …. no …. …. pho -9 ….
cha …. uta …. uta …. 1 …. yes …. yes …. yes …. uta -13 …. uta -8
det …. lac …. det …. 4 …. yes …. yes …. yes …. det -2 …. det


K-9 system tracking - Day 41

63-26-3.....70.8%....+34.4 units in 40 days (HOU,DET)


Super System (S.S.) tracking
41-19-1.....68.3%....+20.1 units in 13 days
*teams with point spreads are showing the minimum line needed to qualify

-Qualifying K-9 edge teams are dogs closing at +2.5 or more assuming the filters don't say "no"
-Gold Rush subset is margins of 15+ lined at -3 or better
-K-9 line shows team with advantage based on system-based point spreads. Lines in red oppose the K-9 and are eliminated. The advantage comes from the difference when compared to the actual line and the results have been as follows:

diff.....results.....%
all.....51-31-2....62%
5.0+...19-7-0....73%
9.0+...4-0-0....100%


"Gold Rush" subset

margin 15+/spread -3 or better....12-2-3...86%...(9-1-3 filtered)
margin 15+/spread +2.5 or better....8-2-2...80%...(7-1-2 filtered)
margin 15+/spread +6 or better....6-1-1...86%...(5-1-1 filtered)



TODAY

YTD.....74-61-6.....54.8%
39-21-3 (65.0%) since changes on 1/8

(all plays recommended at +2.5 or better; if no line given it will be posted later)

Houston +4.5
Detroit +4

NBA picks 2/23

The "Super System" plays I referred to yesterday would be as follows until I figure out how to incorporate them into the posts better (these are not the regular system plays): NO, MIA, NJ? (if +8), LAL, DET, PHI


visitor . home . edge . margin . filter 1 . filter 2 . filter 3 . K-9 line
no …. cle …. no …. 9 …. …. …. …. no +9
ny …. bos …. ny …. 6 …. no …. no …. no …. bos -13.5
min …. mia …. mia …. 3 …. yes …. yes …. yes …. mia -16.5
por …. nj …. por …. 10 …. yes …. …. …. nj +3
lal …. mem …. lal …. 2 …. yes …. yes …. yes …. lal -5
pho …. okc …. okc …. 5 …. yes …. …. …. pho +5
det …. sac …. det …. 13 …. yes …. …. yes …. det +0.5
phi …. gs …. phi …. 4 …. yes …. …. yes …. gs -1


K-9 system tracking - Day 40

61-26-3.....70.1%....+32.4 units (NO)


-Qualifying edge teams are dogs closing at +2.5 or better assuming the filters don't say "no"
-Gold Rush subset is margins of 15+ lined at -3 or better
-K-9 line shows team with advantage based on system-based point spreads. Lines in red oppose the K-9 and are eliminated. The advantage comes from the difference when compared to the actual line and the results have been as follows:

diff.....results.....%
all.....47-28-2....63%
1.5+...43-25-1....63%
5.0+...19-6-0....76%
7.0+...6-3-0....67%
9.0+...4-0-0....100%


"Gold Rush" subset

margin 15+/spread -3 or better....12-2-3...86%...(9-1-3 filtered)
margin 15+/spread +2.5 or better....8-2-2...80%...(7-1-2 filtered)
margin 15+/spread +6 or better....6-1-1...86%...(5-1-1 filtered)



TODAY

YTD.....72-61-6.....54.1%
37-21-3 (63.8%) since changes on 1/8

(all plays are recommended at +2.5 or better; if no line given it will be posted later)

New Orleans +11.5
Detroit +2.5

new "volume" possibility for NBA

So, I have finished my project for the evening of combining the K-9 plays with the point spread plays that have a difference of 5 or more and the filter 3 plays that aren't on back to back nights (a requirement from the very beginning). This goes back to only February 6th which is when I started tracking the point spreads and the results were 38-18-1 (68%). You might be saying "big deal" because the K-9 record is over 70%, but this spans only 12 days at an average of 4.7 plays per day and would have netted 18.2 units in those 12 days. By comparison, the K-9 has gone 13-8 in the same time period so this is an extra 25-10-1 on top of that. Yeow. Might have to include this tracking as well from now on and see where it leads.

2-1-1....2/6
2-1....2/8
5-3....2/9
5-2....2/10
2-0....2/11
4-2....2/16
3-3....2/17
1-1....2/18
8-0....2/19
1-3....2/20
3-0....2/21
2-2....2/22


The 19th would have been a decent day, yeah? That's probably the day I got the idea to do this. With all due respect to Doyle Brunson, we'll have to call this the "Super System".

NBA picks 2/22

Six weeks of tracking is in the books.

Week 1....14-6-0....70%....+7.4
Week 2....14-4-1....78%....+9.6
Week 3....12-3-1....80%....+8.7
Week 4....9-5-1....64%....+3.5
Week 5....6-4-0....60%....+1.6
Week 6....5-4-0....56%....+0.6

Total....60-26-3....70%....+31.4

As you can see we've declined three weeks in a row. I don't know if I can categorize it as a slump when it's still producing profit, but I haven't changed anything since the beginning and it's actually on a 4-1 streak. Would like to see another week back in the 70-80% range. January went 40-13-2 and February is 20-13-1 so far.

Although no K-9 plays yesterday, the point spreads crushed it again going 7-2 and Filter 3 went 3-0 to raise it's stand-alone mark to 24-10, which means at 70.6% it is actually performing better than the K-9. Ironically, it has not been a great filter either as it has eliminated a winning 4-2 record from the K-9 in games that it was the lone opinion. Leads me to believe, as this is all still coming together, that Filter 3 may be better off joining the K-9 rather than filtering it. In fact, my project for the evening is checking on the record when combining the K-9 with Filter 3 AND the point spreads. Can't wait to see those results.


visitor . home . edge . margin . filter 1 . filter 2 . filter 3 . K-9 line
chi …. was …. was …. 5 …. no …. no …. no …. chi -5
mil …. ny …. mil …. 7 …. yes …. yes …. yes …. mil -5
ind …. dal …. dal …. 11 …. …. …. …. ind +6.5
atl …. uta …. atl …. 4 …. no …. …. no …. uta -11.5
cha …. lac …. lac …. 6 …. …. …. …. cha -4.5


K-9 system tracking - Day 39

60-26-3.....69.8%....+31.4 units (LAC)


-Qualifying edge teams are dogs closing at +2.5 or better assuming the filters don't say "no"
-Gold Rush subset is margins of 15+ lined at -3 or better
-K-9 line shows team with advantage based on system-based point spreads. Lines in red oppose the K-9 and are eliminated. The advantage comes from the difference when compared to the actual line and the results have been as follows:

diff.....results.....%
all.....45-26-2....63%
1.5+...41-23-1....64%
5.0+...18-5-0....78%
7.0+...6-2-0....75%
9.0+...4-0-0....100%


"Gold Rush" subset

margin 15+/spread -3 or better....12-2-3...86%...(9-1-3 filtered)
margin 15+/spread +2.5 or better....8-2-2...80%...(7-1-2 filtered)
margin 15+/spread +6 or better....6-1-1...86%...(5-1-1 filtered)



TODAY

YTD.....71-61-6.....53.8%
36-21-3 (63.2%) since changes on 1/8

(all plays are recommended at +2.5 or better; if no line given it will be posted later)

LA Clippers +4

NBA 2/21

visitor home edge margin filter 1 filter 2 filter 3 K-9 line*
cle orl orl 3 orl -3.5
bos den den 3 den -6
sa det sa 10 yes det +2
mem nj mem 10 nj +1.5
okc min okc 2 yes yes okc -9.5
hou no hou 6 yes no -3.5
atl gs atl 4 no gs -1
sac pho sac 3 no no pho -15.5
uta por por 10 no uta -3.5



K-9 system tracking - Day 38

60-26-3.....69.8%....+31.4 units (nothing today)


-Qualifying plays are dogs closing at +2.5 or better and passing the filters
-Gold Rush subset is K-9 margins of 15+ lined at -3 or better
-*System based point spreads. The difference when compared to the actual line yields the value. Lines in red oppose the K-9 and are eliminated.

diff.....results.....%
all.....38-24-2....61%
1.5+...34-21-1....62%
5.0+...15-5-0....75%
7.0+...6-2-0....75%
9.0+...4-0-0....100%


"Gold Rush" subset

margin 15+/spread -3 or better....12-2-3...86%...(9-1-3 filtered)
margin 15+/spread +2.5 or better....8-2-2...80%...(7-1-2 filtered)
margin 15+/spread +6 or better....6-1-1...86%...(5-1-1 filtered)



TODAY

YTD.....71-61-6.....53.8%
36-21-3 (63.2%) since changes on 1/8

(all plays are recommended at +2.5 or better; if no line given it will be posted later)


Nothing.

NBA 2/20

visitor home edge margin filter 1 filter 2 filter 3 K-9 line*
was tor was 4 no no no tor -11.5
okc ny okc 1 yes yes yes okc -9.5
phi chi phi 7 chi -6.5
mia dal mia 1 mia +0.5
ind hou hou 14 yes hou -9
cha mil mil 10 yes yes mil -6
sac lac lac 4 lac -0.5

K-9 system tracking - Day 37

59-25-3.....70.1%....+31.5 units (PHI,MIA)


-Qualifying plays are dogs closing at +2.5 or better and passing the filters
-Gold Rush subset is K-9 margins of 15+ lined at -3 or better
-*System based point spreads. The difference when compared to the actual line yields the value. Lines in red oppose the K-9 and are eliminated.

diff. results %
all 35-21-2 63%
1.5+ 31-18-1 63%
5.0+ 14-4-0 78%
7.0+ 5-2-0 71%
9.0+ 3-0-0 100%


"Gold Rush" subset

margin 15+/spread -3 or better....12-2-3...86%...(9-1-3 filtered)
margin 15+/spread +2.5 or better....8-2-2...80%...(7-1-2 filtered)
margin 15+/spread +6 or better....6-1-1...86%...(5-1-1 filtered)



TODAY

YTD.....70-60-6.....53.8%
35-20-3 (63.6%) since changes on 1/8

(all plays are recommended at +2.5 or better; if no line given it will be posted later)


Philadelphia +5
Miami +10.5

NBA 2/19

1-0 last night and ironically the filters and point spreads each go 0-1 so I can't say there hasn't been a losing day with all three combined anymore. Looks like I'm not going to be able to get the chart underneath to line up properly.

visitor home edge margin filter 1 filter 2 filter 3 K-9 line*
cle cha cha 8 cle -5

sa phi sa 13 phi -2

den was was 2 no den -6

mil det det 6 no mil -5.5

mia mem mem 5 mia -5.5

chi min min 5 chi -4.5

tor nj tor 3 yes yes yes tor -7.5

ind no no 10 yes no -8

dal orl dal 8 orl -11

atl pho atl 10 yes no pho -4

uta gs gs 5 no uta -6.5

bos por por 10 yes no por -5.5


K-9 system tracking - Day 36

57-25-3....69.5%....+29.5 units (CHA,DAL)



"Gold Rush" subset

margin 15>/spread -3>....12-2-3...86%...(9-1-3 filtered)
margin 15>/spread +2.5>....8-2-2...80%...(7-1-2 filtered)
margin 15>/spread +6>....6-1-1...86%...(5-1-1 filtered)



TODAY

YTD.....68-60-6.....53.1%
33-20-3 (62.3%) since changes on 1/8

(all plays are recommended at +2.5 or better; will post line later)


Charlotte +4.5
Dallas +7

NBA 2/18

For the first time in 34 days we finally dip below 70% and two other FIRSTS; first filtered Gold Rush loss with Detroit last night (now 9-1-3) and first two-day losing streak overall after starting 1-3 since the All-Star break. The good news is, combining the K-9 with the filter recommendations and also with the new point spread analysis, there has not been a losing day overall. For new visitors to the blog, I'm still working on getting the chart underneath to line up properly. Bear with me.


visitor home edge margin filter 1 filter 2 filter 3 K-9 line*
den v cle den 10 cle -8
bos v lal lal 12 yes yes yes lal -12


K-9 system tracking - Day 35

56-25-3....69.1%....+28.5 units (DEN)



"Gold Rush" subset

margin 15>/spread -3>....12-2-3...86%...(9-1-3 filtered)
margin 15>/spread +2.5>....8-2-2...80%...(7-1-2 filtered)
margin 15>/spread +6>....6-1-1...86%...(5-1-1 filtered)



TODAY

YTD.....67-60-6.....52.8%
32-20-3 (61.5%) since changes on 1/8

(all plays are recommended at +2.5 or better; will post line later)


Denver +7

NBA 2/17

K-9 system tracking - Day 34

55-23-3....70.5%....+29.7 units (DET,MIN,HOU)



"Gold Rush" subset

margin 15>/spread -3>....12-1-3...92%...(9-0-3 filtered) DET
margin 15>/spread +2.5>....8-1-2...89%...(7-0-2 filtered) DET
margin 15>/spread +6>....6-0-1...100%...(5-0-1 filtered) DET



TODAY

YTD.....66-58-6.....53.2%
31-18-3 (63.3%) since changes on 1/8

(all plays are recommended at +2.5 or better)


Detroit
Minnesota
Houston

NBA 2/16

K-9 system tracking - Day 33

55-22-3....71.4%....+30.8 units (NY)

-Qualifying plays are dogs closing at +2.5> and passing the filters
-Numbers next to K-9 teams are margins of strength
-Gold Rush subset is K-9 margins of 15> lined at -3 or better


"Gold Rush" subset

margin 15>/spread -3>....12-1-3...92%...(9-0-3 filtered)
margin 15>/spread +2.5>....8-1-2...89%...(7-0-2 filtered)
margin 15>/spread +6>....6-0-1...100%...(5-0-1 filtered)



TODAY

YTD.....66-57-6.....53.7%
31-17-3 (64.6%) since changes on 1/8

(all plays are recommended at +2.5 or better)


New York +6.5

NBA 2/11

K-9 system tracking - Day 32

54-22-3....71.1%....+29.8 units (SA)

-Qualifying plays are dogs closing at +2.5> and passing the filters
-Numbers next to K-9 teams are margins of strength
-Gold Rush subset is K-9 margins of 15> lined at -3 or better


"Gold Rush" subset

margin 15>/spread -3>....11-1-3...92%...(8-0-3 filtered) SA
margin 15>/spread +2.5>....7-1-2...87%...(6-0-2 filtered) SA
margin 15>/spread +6>....5-0-1...100%...(4-0-1 filtered) SA(?)

margin 20>/spread -3>....4-1-0...80%...(4-0-0 filtered)
margin 20>/spread +2.5>....3-1-0...75%...(3-0-0 filtered)
margin 20>/spread +6>....2-0-0...100%...(2-0-0 filtered)



TODAY

YTD.....65-57-6.....53.3%
30-17-3 (63.8%) since changes on 1/8

(all plays are recommended at +2.5 or better)


San Antonio +6

NBA 2/10

Took out the expanded plays from yesterday. I think everything is pretty much where it should be with the filtered plays only.


visitor home K-9 filter 1 filter 2 filter 2a
MIA ATL atl 3
PHI TOR phi 10
SAC DET det 13 det det
MIL NJ mil 7 mil mil mil
ORL CHI chi 5 chi
CHA MIN min 0 cha
BOS NO no 6
POR PHO por 16
LAL UTA lal 12
LAC GS gs 3 gs gs


K-9 system tracking - Day 31

Top plays....51-20-3....71.8%....+29.0 units (PHI,CHI,NO,POR,LAL)

-Qualifying top plays are dogs closing at +2.5> and passing the filters
-Numbers next to K-9 teams are margins of strength
-Gold Rush subset is K-9 margins of 15> lined at -3 or better


"Gold Rush" subset

margin 15>/spread -3>....10-1-3...91%...(7-0-3 filtered) POR
margin 15>/spread +2.5>....6-1-2...86%...(5-0-2 filtered) POR
margin 15>/spread +6>....4-0-1...100%...(3-0-1 filtered) POR

margin 20>/spread -3>....4-1-0...80%...(4-0-0 filtered)
margin 20>/spread +2.5>....3-1-0...75%...(3-0-0 filtered)
margin 20>/spread +6>....2-0-0...100%...(2-0-0 filtered)



TODAY

YTD.....62-55-6.....53.0%
27-15-3 (64.3%) since changes on 1/8

(all plays are recommended at +2.5 or better)


Philadelphia +6
Chicago +5
New Orleans +5.5
Portland +10
LA Lakers +5

NBA 2/9

'Twas looking like a 2-0 night with GS bringing a 13-point lead into the 4th quarter until their wheels completely fell off. Both teams we were on each scored 70 points in the first half.

visitor home K-9 filter 1 filter 2 filter 2a
WAS CHA cha 3 cha cha cha
NJ CLE nj 5
CHI IND chi 9 chi chi
MIN PHI phi 0 phi phi
HOU MIA hou 6
SAC NY ny 3
ATL MEM mem 5
DET MIL det 7 mil mil
DAL DEN dal 1 den den
OKC POR por 7
UTA LAC lac 2 uta uta uta



K-9 system tracking - Day 30

Top plays....50-19-3....72.5%....+29.1 units (NJ,HOU)

Expanded....76-40-5....65.5%....+32.0 units (NJ,CHI,HOU,MEM,DET,DAL,POR,LAC)


-Qualifying top plays are dogs closing at +2.5> and passing the filters
-Expanded includes K-9 or filter plays closing at -3> and unfiltered K-9's at +6>
-Numbers next to K-9 teams are margins of strength
-Gold Rush subset is K-9 margins of 15> lined at -3 or better


"Gold Rush" subset

margin 15>/spread -3>....10-1-3...91%...(7-0-3 filtered)
margin 15>/spread +2.5>....6-1-2...86%...(5-0-2 filtered)
margin 15>/spread +6>....4-0-1...100%...(3-0-1 filtered)

margin 20>/spread -3>....4-1-0...80%...(4-0-0 filtered)
margin 20>/spread +2.5>....3-1-0...75%...(3-0-0 filtered)
margin 20>/spread +6>....2-0-0...100%...(2-0-0 filtered)



TODAY

YTD.....61-54-6.....53.0%
26-14-3 (65.0%) since changes on 1/8

(all plays are recommended at +2.5 or better; will post official lines later)


New Jersey +16
Houston +5.5

NBA 2/8

Took yesterday off. The K-9 tracking has reached four full weeks of action (28 days):

Week 1 14-6-0 70% +7.4
Week 2 14-4-1 78% +9.6
Week 3 12-3-1 80% +8.7
Week 4 9-5-1 64% +3.5

Total 49-18-3 73% +29.2


There have been 25 days with actual plays. 20 winning days, 2 losing days, and 3 break even days.


K-9 system tracking - Day 29

49-18-3.....73.1%.....+29.2 units


-Qualifying plays are dogs of +2.5> that pass the filters
-Numbers next to K-9 teams are margins of strength
-Gold Rush subset is K-9 margins of 15> lined at -3 or better

visitor home K-9 filter 1 filter 2 filter 2a
NO ORL no 10
DAL GS gs 3
SA LAL sa 10 lal lal




"Gold Rush" subset

margin 15>/spread -3>....10-1-3...91%...(7-0-3 filtered)
margin 15>/spread +2.5>....6-1-2...86%...(5-0-2 filtered)
margin 15>/spread +6>....4-0-1...100%...(3-0-1 filtered)

margin 20>/spread -3>....4-1-0...80%...(4-0-0 filtered)
margin 20>/spread +2.5>....3-1-0...75%...(3-0-0 filtered)
margin 20>/spread +6>....2-0-0...100%...(2-0-0 filtered)



TODAY

YTD.....60-53-6.....53.1%
25-13-3 (65.8%) since changes on 1/8

(all plays are recommended at +2.5 or better; will post official lines when i get them)


New Orleans +9.5
Golden State +5

NBA - 2/6

3-1 last night, including 3-0 for the K-9 system. Detroit lost as an unfiltered "Gold Rush" play, which are now 3-1.


K-9 system - Day 28

48-18-3.....72.7%.....+28.2 units


-Qualifying plays are dogs of +2.5> that pass the filters
-Numbers next to K-9 teams are margins of strength
-Gold Rush subset is K-9 margins of 15> and lined at -3 or better

visitor home K-9 qualify filters PLAYS
NO CHA cha 3
NY CLE ny 12 ny pass ny
NJ DET det 18
MIA CHI mia 7
MEM MIN mem 5
PHI HOU hou 6
IND MIL mil 13
DEN UTA uta 1
LAL POR por 3 por pass por
OKC GS gs 2 gs fail
SA LAC sa 15



"Gold Rush" subset

margin 15>/spread -3>....10-1-3...91%...(7-0-3 filtered)
margin 15>/spread +2.5>....6-1-2...86%...(5-0-2 filtered)
margin 15>/spread +6>....4-0-1...100%...(3-0-1 filtered)

margin 20>/spread -3>....4-1-0...80%...(4-0-0 filtered)
margin 20>/spread +2.5>....3-1-0...75%...(3-0-0 filtered)
margin 20>/spread +6>....2-0-0...100%...(2-0-0 filtered)



TODAY

YTD.....59-52-6.....53.2%
24-12-3 (.667) since changes on 1/8

New York +12.5

Portland +4

NBA add 2/5

NBA Add for 2/5

Philadelphia +2.5

NBA - 2/5

2-1 on Wednesday.


Friday - Day 27 of K-9 system


visitor home K-9 filter 1 filter 2 filter 2a
DET IND det 24 det ind
WAS ORL was 8
NJ BOS nj 4
MIL NY mil 5 mil mil mil
CHI ATL atl 2
HOU MEM hou 1 mem
PHI NO phi 2 phi phi
MIN DAL min 4 dal
PHO SAC sac 5 pho pho
DEN LAL lal 4


*K-9 dogs of 2.5>.....45-18-3.....71.4%.....+25.2 units

*when not opposed by any of the filters



K-9 "Gold Rush" plays

K-9 margin of strength is listed next to each selection above
NBA's K-9 Gold Rush plays have stronger margins of 15>


margin 15>/spread -3>.....10-0-3.....100%.....DET
margin 15>/spread +2.5>.....6-0-2.....100%.....DET
margin 15>/spread +6>.....4-0-1.....100%.....

margin 20>/spread -3>.....4-0-0.....100%.....DET
margin 20>/spread +2.5>.....3-0-0.....100%.....DET
margin 20>/spread +6>.....2-0-0.....100%.....



TODAY

YTD 56 51 6 52%
21-11-3 (66%) since changes on 1/8

Detroit +3.5

Washington +13

New Jersey +13

Introduction

Welcome. This blog is to provide insight and analysis for the four major professional sports: baseball, hockey, football and basketball.

I've been crunching numbers in sports since 1995 and have developed my own original techniques and strategies used for predicting outcomes to sporting events. I am not aware of another analyst using the exact same style and techniques that I have learned over years of trial and error. I've devoted my professional life to sports analysis and my commitment and work ethic are reflected in the results.

Most "cappers" focus on one or two sports. Very few can successfully navigate their way through the four majors and do it year after year. The key is having a knack or understanding of how statistical analysis works differently in each sport in the first place, but also having the passion and dedication to put in the amount of work necessary to achieve success. Numbers aren't exciting to most people, understandably, but yet they are used in just about every facet of life and can be very powerful if used properly. I'm a born number freak and have been a sports nut since I was 7 years old. Since numbers and sports are naturally related, I've been growing that passion and knowledge ever since.