Sunday, November 1, 2015

COVERING THE NFL - W8

Last week:  3-2

Similar to Week 6, I split my two sides and won the teaser in Week 7. I'm now 12-10 (55%) on sides and 4-2 (67%) on teasers. I stated before the season started that I would be expanding my repertoire to increase the number of plays I made. For the prior 8 seasons (only three of which are documented in my career record below) I had been extremely selective in my plays although my lesser plays have almost always been profitable as well. I finally decided I'd rather try to make more money with more plays in a sport I have a strong handle on than just play it safe and only play the high percentage picks. I'm on pace for around 75 picks this year which would be the most I've had in ten years. I could still even loosen the rope a little more next year and exceed 100 plays but I'm fine where I'm at now for this season. I'm on pace for around 9 units of profit at 1 unit per game, which is a very solid NFL season.


Documented forum record:

Career:  366-284-19  (56%) ATS

Breakdown:
Sides:  345-273-19  (56%).....avg line:  -108
Teasers:  19-11  (63%).....avg line:  -109
Futures:  2-0  (100%).....avg line:  -125

2002:  58-47-4  (55%)
2003:  32-23-1  (58%)
2004:  58-64-1  (48%)
2005:  48-34-3  (59%)
2006:  34-29-3  (54%)
2007:  34-24-4  (59%)
2012:  31-19-2  (62%)
2013:  26-11-1  (70%)
2014:  29-21-0  (58%)
2015:  16-12-0  (57%)

Las Vegas SuperContest  (not included in handicapping record)
2014:  51-34-0  (60%)  finished 78 out of 1,403
2015:  16-19-0  (46%)  picks: SF,CLE,NYJ,DAL,IND


Week 8 picks

Detroit +3 +103
Houston -3 -135

Dallas +5 -108





Future

Denver o10 wins -135