Sunday, September 14, 2014

NFL

Documented forum record

Career:  321-251-19  (56.1%) ATS

2002:  58-47-4  (55%)
2003:  32-23-1  (58%)
2004:  58-64-1  (48%)
2005:  48-34-3  (59%)
2006:  34-29-3  (54%)
2007:  34-24-4  (59%)
2012:  31-19-2  (62%)
2013:  26-11-1  (70%)

2014:  0-0-0  (00%)

Last year's breakdown:

ATS Sides:  21-9-1  (70%).....average price: -107  (highest: -120)
Teasers:  5-2-0  (71%).....average price: -116  (highest: -120)


Week 1: 0-0


Week 2:

10 pt teaser, ties reduce, -115  ($575 to win $500)

New Orleans +3.5
New England +7
Indianapolis +7

I went 5-2 in teasers last year as you can see in my breakdown in blue above. Never played them much before that but I'll have more of them this year. They can be really strong wagers if you're smart about them and they only cost a few cents more than a standard Vegas wager. I put this one in on Friday before the Peterson news but I would also back the Patriots at the current line (+4.5) if necessary.

Andrew Luck has never lost back to back games in his young career (10-0 su, 9-0-1 ats). Since 2003, Tom Brady is 27-9 ats (75%) after a loss, 17-3 on the road (85%) and 9-1 as a road favorite of less than 7. Drew Brees is 21-8 ats (72%) following a loss since 2008, only 6-5 on the road (lost 3 straight) but 3-1 as a road favorite.

No ATS sides qualified in Week 2.


Futures

Denver o11.5 wins +105  ($2500 to win $2625)
New England o10.5 wins -155  ($2500 to win $1613)
 

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