NFL
Last week: 0-1
Documented forum record
Career: 322-252-19 (56.1%) ATS
2002: 58-47-4 (55%)
2003: 32-23-1 (58%)
2004: 58-64-1 (48%)
2005: 48-34-3 (59%)
2006: 34-29-3 (54%)
2007: 34-24-4 (59%)
2012: 31-19-2 (62%)
2013: 26-11-1 (70%)
2014: 1-1-0 (50%) -$75
Breakdown:
ROI: -7.0%
ATS Sides: 0-0-0 (00%).....average price: NA
Teasers: 1-1-0 (50%).....average price: -115
WEEK 4
Jacksonville +13 -118 ($590 to win $500)
An ugly duckling that is in a bounce back situation of 417-319-16 ats (57%, +66.1 units, 3.61 z-score, L5Y 55%, LY 68%, TY 75% (3-1)). Two of my dozen or so strong situational angles agree on this play. When that happens, the record is 67-38-3 ats (64%). Chargers are playing well right now and a 3-1 record is all but a certainty (could easily be 4-0) so human nature could make this feel a little too easy for San Diego.
Tampa Bay +7.5 -115 ($575 to win $500)
One of my strongest bounce back situations is on the Bucs at Pittsburgh. This situation is 58-14-3 ats since 1986 (81%, +42.6 units, 5.19 z-score, L5Y 81%, LY 50% (1-1), TY 0-0). Bucs got embarrassed on TNF last week and Steelers cruised on SNF. This won't be easy but looking for Tampa to play a lot better. Hopefully the extra few days of rest helped them straighten some things out.
Kansas City +??
Going to wait on the Chiefs line till closer to kickoff. Three of my situational angles agree. When that happens, the record is 17-3-1 ats (85%). Brady and the Pats are not yet clicking on offense and Brady's numbers have declined steadily the past several seasons. Beware the home dog on Monday Night Football.
10.5pt. teaser, ties reduce, +124 ($500 to win $620)
Chicago +11.5 (last Monday, WON)
Indianapolis +3
Tampa Bay +19.5
Kansas City +??
Keeping an open spot for the Chiefs until Monday. Right now the line is at +13.5.
Futures - Regular Season wins
Denver o11.5 +105 ($2500 to win $2625) Proj. record: 13-3.....Next: bye
New England o10.5 -155 ($2500 to win $1613) Proj. record: 12-4.....Next: W
Last week: 0-1
Documented forum record
Career: 322-252-19 (56.1%) ATS
2002: 58-47-4 (55%)
2003: 32-23-1 (58%)
2004: 58-64-1 (48%)
2005: 48-34-3 (59%)
2006: 34-29-3 (54%)
2007: 34-24-4 (59%)
2012: 31-19-2 (62%)
2013: 26-11-1 (70%)
2014: 1-1-0 (50%) -$75
Breakdown:
ROI: -7.0%
ATS Sides: 0-0-0 (00%).....average price: NA
Teasers: 1-1-0 (50%).....average price: -115
WEEK 4
Jacksonville +13 -118 ($590 to win $500)
An ugly duckling that is in a bounce back situation of 417-319-16 ats (57%, +66.1 units, 3.61 z-score, L5Y 55%, LY 68%, TY 75% (3-1)). Two of my dozen or so strong situational angles agree on this play. When that happens, the record is 67-38-3 ats (64%). Chargers are playing well right now and a 3-1 record is all but a certainty (could easily be 4-0) so human nature could make this feel a little too easy for San Diego.
Tampa Bay +7.5 -115 ($575 to win $500)
One of my strongest bounce back situations is on the Bucs at Pittsburgh. This situation is 58-14-3 ats since 1986 (81%, +42.6 units, 5.19 z-score, L5Y 81%, LY 50% (1-1), TY 0-0). Bucs got embarrassed on TNF last week and Steelers cruised on SNF. This won't be easy but looking for Tampa to play a lot better. Hopefully the extra few days of rest helped them straighten some things out.
Kansas City +??
Going to wait on the Chiefs line till closer to kickoff. Three of my situational angles agree. When that happens, the record is 17-3-1 ats (85%). Brady and the Pats are not yet clicking on offense and Brady's numbers have declined steadily the past several seasons. Beware the home dog on Monday Night Football.
10.5pt. teaser, ties reduce, +124 ($500 to win $620)
Chicago +11.5 (last Monday, WON)
Indianapolis +3
Tampa Bay +19.5
Kansas City +??
Keeping an open spot for the Chiefs until Monday. Right now the line is at +13.5.
Futures - Regular Season wins
Denver o11.5 +105 ($2500 to win $2625) Proj. record: 13-3.....Next: bye
New England o10.5 -155 ($2500 to win $1613) Proj. record: 12-4.....Next: W
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