COVERING THE NFL - W5
Last week: 1-1
Split my two sides last week but had my first good week in the SuperContest, going 4-1 to climb to a fairly respectable 8-12. Three-quarters of the season left. I already lost the Thursday game this week in the contest with Houston not getting the job done, but lots of contestants picked Houston as well given the 4 points of line value due to Andrew Luck not playing (the contest was Houston -1 but the actual line climbed to -5). The Colts played a nearly flawless game, however, and won 27-20.
Documented forum record:
Career: 356-278-19 (56%) ATS
Breakdown:
Sides: 338-267-19 (56%).....avg line: -108
Teasers: 16-11 (59%).....avg line: -106
Futures: 2-0 (100%).....avg line: -125
2002: 58-47-4 (55%)
2003: 32-23-1 (58%)
2004: 58-64-1 (48%)
2005: 48-34-3 (59%)
2006: 34-29-3 (54%)
2007: 34-24-4 (59%)
2012: 31-19-2 (62%)
2013: 26-11-1 (70%)
2014: 29-21-0 (58%)
2015: 6-6-0 (50%)
Las Vegas SuperContest (not included in handicapping record)
2014: 51-34-0 (60%) finished 78 out of 1,403
2015: 8-12-0 (40%) picks: HOU,JAC,CLE,ARI,SF
Week 5
Arizona -3 -115
Cardinals lost their first game of the season last week on home field. Look for them to bounce back against the tough-luck Lions.
Philadelphia -6 -108
Unrest is growing in Philadelphia with angry Eagles' fans calling radio shows to vent their frustrations over Chip Kelly's offense. They will correct this, though, and no better place to start than in front of those fans today against a Saints team allowing the most yards per play in the league.
San Diego -3.5 -108
This is the Monday nighter. Time for the Chargers to make everything right on the bright stage against Michael Vick and the Steelers. Vick was mostly ineffective in the Steelers' last loss to Baltimore. Pittsburgh has been respectable overall without Roethlisberger but I don't see them keeping up with Philip Rivers and San Diego's passing attack in this one.
7-point teaser, ties reduce, -120
Green Bay -3
New England -3
Packers at home where Rodgers is an absolute machine and Brady and the Patriots off a bye in Dallas. Pats are 11-3 off a bye in the Brady/Belichick era but, then again, the Patriots have won 76% of all games in any situation.
Future
Denver o10 wins -135
Last week: 1-1
Split my two sides last week but had my first good week in the SuperContest, going 4-1 to climb to a fairly respectable 8-12. Three-quarters of the season left. I already lost the Thursday game this week in the contest with Houston not getting the job done, but lots of contestants picked Houston as well given the 4 points of line value due to Andrew Luck not playing (the contest was Houston -1 but the actual line climbed to -5). The Colts played a nearly flawless game, however, and won 27-20.
Documented forum record:
Career: 356-278-19 (56%) ATS
Breakdown:
Sides: 338-267-19 (56%).....avg line: -108
Teasers: 16-11 (59%).....avg line: -106
Futures: 2-0 (100%).....avg line: -125
2002: 58-47-4 (55%)
2003: 32-23-1 (58%)
2004: 58-64-1 (48%)
2005: 48-34-3 (59%)
2006: 34-29-3 (54%)
2007: 34-24-4 (59%)
2012: 31-19-2 (62%)
2013: 26-11-1 (70%)
2014: 29-21-0 (58%)
2015: 6-6-0 (50%)
Las Vegas SuperContest (not included in handicapping record)
2014: 51-34-0 (60%) finished 78 out of 1,403
2015: 8-12-0 (40%) picks: HOU,JAC,CLE,ARI,SF
Week 5
Arizona -3 -115
Cardinals lost their first game of the season last week on home field. Look for them to bounce back against the tough-luck Lions.
Philadelphia -6 -108
Unrest is growing in Philadelphia with angry Eagles' fans calling radio shows to vent their frustrations over Chip Kelly's offense. They will correct this, though, and no better place to start than in front of those fans today against a Saints team allowing the most yards per play in the league.
San Diego -3.5 -108
This is the Monday nighter. Time for the Chargers to make everything right on the bright stage against Michael Vick and the Steelers. Vick was mostly ineffective in the Steelers' last loss to Baltimore. Pittsburgh has been respectable overall without Roethlisberger but I don't see them keeping up with Philip Rivers and San Diego's passing attack in this one.
7-point teaser, ties reduce, -120
Green Bay -3
New England -3
Packers at home where Rodgers is an absolute machine and Brady and the Patriots off a bye in Dallas. Pats are 11-3 off a bye in the Brady/Belichick era but, then again, the Patriots have won 76% of all games in any situation.
Future
Denver o10 wins -135
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