NHL

Sunday: +3.07

A nice bounce back night going 3-0 on Sunday. Also got my third 1-goal win in regulation (which is the only benefit of playing the regulation wager versus the -1 puck line) after not having any for the first several weeks since I switched. I'm still monitoring the best way to wager large favorites in order to lessen the price. If I played everything straight this year, my 77-56 record would have netted me a profit of 8.02 units at an average price of -124.


YTD:  +1.72 units (@ 1 unit each)

ROI: +1.2 cents on every dollar risked
Average win: 1.07 units
Average loss: 1.17 units
Average money line: -109
Winning % required to break even: 52.2%
Current YTD winning %: 52.8%

Favorites: 40-39 -9.05  (PL favs = 15-7 +6.67)
Underdogs: 22-17 +9.77  (PL dogs = 7-4 +3.87)
Even money: 5-4 +1.00  (PL even = 3-0 +3.00)

SU record: 77-56
Pythagorean record: 77-56  (based on goal differential below)


Handicapping the handicapping

Goals scored per game: 2.98  (would be 6th in NHL)
Goals allowed per game: 2.50  (goal diff. would be 7th in NHL)
Shots on goal per game: 31.6
Shots allowed per game: 27.3

Shooting percentage for: 9.4%
Shooting percentage against: 9.2%

Overtime games: 17-16 (8-8 ot/9-8 so)


Tonight's matchups comparing 8 different statistical evaluations (+/-) factoring strength of schedule and an overall number in blue at the end:

San Jose	0.1	0.1	2.8	0.2	3.2	0.3	0.7	0.6	0.9
Washington	0.4	0.3	0.9	0.2	1.0	1.5	0.9	0.6	-3.6
Tampa Bay	0.5	0.1	2.1	0.7	6.2	3.3	0.4	0.8	1.0
NY Rangers	0.9	0.6	1.1	0.2	4.4	0.4	1.7	2.1	6.0
Toronto	1.1	0.6	0.2	0.9	7.8	5.1	1.4	0.5	-10.6
Boston	0.5	0.1	0.1	0.3	2.3	0.3	0.8	0.4	1.5
Philadelphia	0.1	0.2	2.0	0.5	1.7	0.3	0.8	0.9	-3.3
Buffalo	0.5	0.6	1.8	2.6	6.8	3.0	0.1	2.6	9.1
NY Islanders	1.1	0.2	1.0	0.0	0.5	0.2	3.9	0.7	2.2
Florida	0.6	0.0	0.6	1.3	3.3	1.3	1.1	0.2	1.5
New Jersey	0.0	0.5	0.6	1.0	0.7	3.5	0.5	0.8	9.6
Montreal	0.4	0.0	0.8	1.8	1.5	2.0	1.0	0.7	4.5
Ottawa	0.1	0.2	0.8	2.6	2.0	3.8	0.2	0.6	-9.1
Minnesota	0.1	0.0	0.5	1.2	3.7	0.0	1.5	0.0	2.7
Colorado	0.2	0.2	0.9	0.2	5.2	2.3	1.2	0.1	-3.5
Chicago	1.0	0.3	1.1	0.7	5.1	2.1	1.8	0.3	5.4
Calgary	1.2	0.1	0.1	0.1	2.5	1.3	3.9	0.0	1.8
Nashville	1.0	0.7	2.8	3.3	5.4	3.6	5.3	3.8	-12.4
Phoenix	0.5	0.1	0.4	1.6	0.4	2.1	1.7	0.3	1.0
St. Louis	1.6	0.6	1.6	0.6	0.0	1.6	6.1	1.6	8.1
Edmonton	0.5	0.5	0.4	2.0	7.1	3.0	1.2	0.7	-10.7
Dallas	0.2	0.3	1.6	1.3	1.5	1.1	1.1	0.8	-6.5

Tonight's plays

Boston -0.5 -135 (reg)
NY Islanders -105
Chicago -0.5 -127
Nashville -0.5 -123
St. Louis -0.5 -142
Dallas -0.5 +100