NHL

Yesterday: -2.32

Really running bad right now. Another win slips away with Ottawa, leading 3-2 late which would have given me a split on the night. Ottawa loses the lead to Colorado with just 2:20 left in regulation, then loses the game :33 into overtime.



YTD:  -2.27 units (@ 1 unit each)

ROI: -1.7 cents on every dollar risked
Average win: 1.08 units
Average loss: 1.16 units
Average money line: -107
Winning % required to break even: 51.8%
Current YTD winning %: 50.9%

Favorites: 34-34 -8.61  (PL favs = 13-5 +7.21)
Underdogs: 20-17 +7.34  (PL dogs = 6-4 +2.80)
Even money: 3-4 -1.00  (PL even = 1-0 +1.00)

SU record: 67-51
Pythagorean record: 68-50  (based on goal differential below)


Handicapping the handicapping

Goals scored per game: 3.01  (+0.32 better than NHL avg of 2.69)
Goals allowed per game: 2.53  (+0.16 better than NHL avg of 2.69)
Shots on goal per game: 31.6  (+1.6 better than NHL avg of 30.0)
Shots allowed per game: 27.3  (+2.7 better than NHL avg of 30.0)

Shooting percentage for: 9.5%
Shooting percentage against: 9.3%

Overtime results: 16-15 (7-7 ot/9-8 so)


Tonight's matchups comparing 8 different statistical evaluations (+/-) factoring strength of schedule and an overall number in blue at the end:

Dallas	0.1	0.6	1.5	1.7	0.5	2.7	0.3	1.2	-11.3
New Jersey	0.4	0.6	0.4	0.8	1.4	4.2	1.0	0.6	9.7
Florida	0.6	0.0	1.0	1.6	2.0	0.3	1.4	0.1	2.6
Buffalo	0.5	0.6	1.7	2.3	5.2	2.8	0.6	2.8	9.4
Toronto	0.2	0.2	0.3	0.7	6.0	3.9	1.2	0.4	-6.0
Carolina	0.5	0.3	0.2	4.2	1.0	3.4	1.3	0.1	-13.9
Washington	0.4	0.5	0.2	0.2	0.1	1.4	1.2	1.3	-5.4
Tampa Bay	0.5	0.5	3.4	2.0	6.6	3.1	0.3	0.8	2.6
Anaheim	1.2	0.4	0.4	2.1	8.1	5.8	1.4	0.6	11.2
Nashville	0.8	0.6	2.7	2.4	4.6	2.5	4.1	2.9	-9.6
Minnesota	0.4	0.0	0.6	0.9	4.8	1.1	0.2	0.3	0.9
Phoenix	0.2	0.3	0.4	2.0	2.1	0.9	0.1	1.4	7.1
St. Louis	1.3	0.4	1.5	0.7	1.0	1.7	5.1	1.0	6.6
Calgary	0.9	0.1	0.1	0.5	4.7	1.5	2.3	0.1	3.1
Detroit	0.5	0.1	0.5	0.1	1.9	2.3	2.3	1.1	0.1
San Jose	0.2	0.1	0.8	0.3	5.0	0.5	0.9	0.2	0.6
Boston	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.7	2.1	1.7	0.1	0.1	-1.3
Los Angeles	0.2	0.8	0.6	2.5	3.0	1.3	1.4	2.2	13.6

Tonight's plays

Tampa Bay -130
Anaheim -135
Phoenix -0.5 -120 (reg)
Los Angeles -125