Sunday, October 19, 2014

NFL

Last week:  1-4

Documented forum record

Career:  328-258-19  (56.0%) ATS

2002:  58-47-4  (55%)
2003:  32-23-1  (58%)
2004:  58-64-1  (48%)
2005:  48-34-3  (59%)
2006:  34-29-3  (54%)
2007:  34-24-4  (59%)
2012:  31-19-2  (62%)
2013:  26-11-1  (70%)
2014:  7-7-0  (50%)  -$330.....ROI:  -4.2%

Career breakdown:
Sides:  319-253-19  (56%).....avg line:  -108
Teasers:  9-5-0  (65%).....avg line:  -110


WEEK 7

Jacksonville +5.5 -108  ($540 to win $500)
Oakland +3.5 -108  ($540 to win $500)

These plays were locked in Thursday night. They both are showing around a 58% win rate expectancy. Their opponents, Arizona and Cleveland, are both in letdown situations coupled with line value situations on the Jags and Raiders, the two worst teams in the NFL. The Browns just destroyed division rival Pittsburgh and have to be feeling pretty good about themselves, but 5.5-point favorites on the road? It would be natural to find it hard to get up for the Jaguars and they just lost pro bowl center Mack for the season. The Raiders nearly tasted victory for the first time last week at home against the Chargers. They led most of the way but fell short in the end but get another chance at home this week against a banged-up Cardinals team.


10.5-pt. teaser, ties reduce, +124  ($500 to win $620)

Seattle +3
Denver +3.5
SF/Den Over 39.5
KC/SD Over 35


Futures - Regular Season wins

Denver o11.5 +105  ($2500 to win $2625)
New England o10.5 -155  ($2500 to win $1613)

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