Wednesday, January 15, 2014

NHL

Yesterday: -0.67

Felt good about the six plays yesterday and outshot the six opponents 203-156 but split 3-3 and lost some juice. I'm now 34-34 in one-goal games and 46-25 in multi-goal games. Going with two big dogs tonight.


YTD:  +1.05 units (@ 1 unit each)

ROI: +0.7 cents on every dollar risked
Average win: 1.07 units
Average loss: 1.17 units
Average money line: -110
Winning % required to break even: 52.3%
Current YTD winning %: 52.6%

Favorites: 42-42 -10.72  (PL favs = 17-9 +6.05)
Underdogs: 22-17 +9.77  (PL dogs = 7-4 +3.87)
Even money: 6-4 +2.00  (PL even = 4-0 +4.00)

SU record: 80-59
Pythagorean record: 80-59  (based on goal differential below)


Handicapping the handicapping

Goals scored per game: 2.98  (would be 6th in NHL)
Goals allowed per game: 2.51  (goal diff. would be 7th in NHL)
Shots on goal per game: 31.7
Shots allowed per game: 27.3

Shooting percentage for: 9.4%
Shooting percentage against: 9.2%

Overtime games: 17-16 (8-8 ot/9-8 so)


Tonight's matchups comparing 8 different statistical evaluations (+/-) factoring strength of schedule and an overall number in blue at the end:

Buffalo 0.3 0.6 1.2 2.3 7.6 3.0 0.8 2.5 8.3
Toronto 0.8 0.5 0.0 0.7 9.1 6.0 0.1 0.1 -10.3
Washington 0.1 0.0 0.9 0.4 0.3 0.8 0.1 0.2 0.4
Pittsburgh 0.2 0.6 1.8 0.4 1.7 0.7 1.2 1.8 -7.1
Vancouver 0.1 0.5 1.8 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.5 5.2
Anaheim 1.2 0.2 0.3 2.2 7.1 5.4 1.5 1.0 9.4


Tonight's plays

Buffalo +150
Washington +190

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