Saturday, January 11, 2014

NHL

Yesterday: +4.36

Great night last night and much needed after being on a 14-day slide for -8.23 units. A four-game sweep including my first two one-goal wins in regulation on the regulation wagers. It had to happen some time.



YTD:  +1.59 units (@ 1 unit each)

ROI: +1.1 cents on every dollar risked
Average win: 1.07 units
Average loss: 1.16 units
Average money line: -108
Winning % required to break even: 51.9%
Current YTD winning %: 52.5%

Favorites: 38-36 -7.11  (PL favs = 14-6 +7.01)
Underdogs: 21-17 +8.70  (PL dogs = 6-4 +2.80)
Even money: 4-4 +0.00  (PL even = 2-0 +2.00)

SU record: 73-53
Pythagorean record: 73-53  (based on goal differential below)


Handicapping the handicapping

Goals scored per game: 3.00  (would be 6th in NHL)
Goals allowed per game: 2.52  (goal diff. would be 7th in NHL)
Shots on goal per game: 31.7
Shots allowed per game: 27.3

Shooting percentage for: 9.5%
Shooting percentage against: 9.2%

Overtime games: 17-15 (8-7 ot/9-8 so)


Tonight's matchups comparing 8 different statistical evaluations (+/-) factoring strength of schedule and an overall number in blue at the end:

Tampa Bay 0.6 0.4 3.0 1.7 6.9 3.6 0.1 0.4 2.8
Philadelphia 0.3 0.1 1.6 0.0 0.9 0.1 1.4 0.3 -1.1
Florida 0.6 0.0 0.6 1.3 1.7 0.2 1.6 0.1 2.2
New Jersey 0.5 0.8 0.4 0.9 0.7 4.1 1.7 1.5 12.1
Chicago 0.8 0.0 1.7 0.7 6.3 3.2 0.7 0.9 3.5
Montreal 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.9 2.4 2.2 0.3 0.2 4.3
Columbus 0.3 0.1 0.5 1.7 1.8 2.0 1.6 0.3 1.2
Winnipeg 0.5 0.6 1.6 0.6 2.3 0.5 1.1 1.9 -7.6
Ottawa 0.3 0.5 0.2 2.3 0.3 3.1 1.1 0.7 -11.5
Nashville 0.8 0.7 3.1 2.9 6.4 3.3 4.9 3.6 -11.7
Colorado 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.9 4.3 2.0 0.2 0.2 -5.5
Minnesota 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.9 5.1 1.3 1.4 0.5 1.6
Anaheim 1.2 0.2 0.3 1.7 8.1 5.9 1.2 1.2 8.9
Phoenix 0.4 0.3 0.7 2.1 1.7 1.4 1.4 1.3 6.2
Pittsburgh 0.1 0.5 2.4 0.4 2.3 0.7 1.2 1.6 -6.5
Calgary 1.3 0.1 0.6 1.0 3.9 1.1 4.0 0.7 1.6
Boston 0.0 0.4 0.3 0.4 3.0 0.6 1.1 1.1 -3.2
San Jose 0.4 0.1 1.9 0.1 4.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.2
Detroit 0.8 0.3 0.6 0.2 2.4 2.8 3.7 2.0 -2.1
Los Angeles 0.2 0.7 0.2 2.5 5.3 2.3 1.9 1.7 13.4


Tonight's plays

Chicago -135
Minnesota -125
Anaheim -120
Los Angeles -0.5 -134

1 comment:

  1. Great job as always. Looking forward to following you here. Perhaps we'll see you back next year at the old talksport site.

    peace
    bugsy

    ReplyDelete