Sunday, January 12, 2014

NHL

Yesterday: -2.94

Easy come, easy go. Just couldn't get anything to fall right last night. Today's a new day....



YTD:  -1.35 units (@ 1 unit each)

ROI: -0.9 cents on every dollar risked
Average win: 1.07 units
Average loss: 1.17 units
Average money line: -109
Winning % required to break even: 52.1%
Current YTD winning %: 51.6%

Favorites: 39-39 -10.05  (PL favs = 14-7 +5.67)
Underdogs: 21-17 +8.70  (PL dogs = 6-4 +2.80)
Even money: 4-4 +0.00  (PL even = 2-0 +2.00)

SU record: 74-56
Pythagorean record: 75-55  (based on goal differential below)


Handicapping the handicapping

Goals scored per game: 2.98  (would be 6th in NHL)
Goals allowed per game: 2.53  (goal diff. would be 7th in NHL)
Shots on goal per game: 31.6
Shots allowed per game: 27.3

Shooting percentage for: 9.4%
Shooting percentage against: 9.3%

Overtime games: 17-16 (8-8 ot/9-8 so)


Tonight's matchups comparing 8 different statistical evaluations (+/-) factoring strength of schedule and an overall number in blue at the end:

Buffalo 0.6 0.5 1.5 2.3 6.5 3.5 0.7 2.3 7.2
Washington 0.2 0.3 1.1 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.8 1.0 -2.5
NY Islanders 1.1 0.3 2.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 3.7 0.9 3.8
Dallas 0.1 0.2 2.2 1.4 1.4 0.7 0.7 0.5 -5.4
New Jersey 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.9 1.0 3.8 0.8 1.0 10.3
Toronto 1.1 0.4 0.2 0.6 7.0 4.2 1.8 0.2 -8.0
Philadelphia 0.3 0.1 1.5 0.2 1.5 0.7 0.6 0.6 -1.1
NY Rangers 0.6 0.4 0.7 0.3 4.4 0.2 0.8 1.4 5.0
Edmonton 0.6 0.4 0.2 1.4 6.4 2.6 0.4 0.4 -7.9
Chicago 1.1 0.5 1.6 0.7 6.3 3.1 1.9 0.7 7.9
Minnesota 0.2 0.1 0.5 1.2 4.0 0.6 0.7 0.2 1.1
Nashville 0.7 0.6 2.7 2.6 6.3 3.7 4.4 3.3 -9.7
Detroit 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.1 2.8 1.8 -2.8
Anaheim 1.4 0.1 0.0 1.7 8.1 6.0 1.6 1.7 7.5


Tonight's plays

NY Rangers -0.5 +100 (reg)
Chicago -1.5 +107
Anaheim -0.5 -132 (reg)

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