NHL

Yesterday: 2-0 +2.40

A decent night. Just my fifth winning day of the month. After these two 1-goal wins, my Pythagorean record, which measures your expected winning % based on goal differential, is a game lower than my actual record for the first time.


YTD:  -0.86 units (@ 1 unit each)


Handicapping the handicapping

ROI: -0.5 cents on every dollar risked
Average win: 1.07 units
Average loss: 1.17 units
Average money line: -109
Winning % required to break even: 52.2%
Current YTD winning %: 52.0%

Favorites: 48-49 -13.23  (PL favs = 18-13 +2.22)
Underdogs: 25-19 +11.37  (PL dogs = 7-4 +3.87)
Even money: 6-5 +1.00  (PL even = 4-0 +4.00)

SU record: 91-67
Pythagorean record: 90-68  (based on goal differential below)

Goals scored per game: 2.96  (would be 6th in NHL)
Goals allowed per game: 2.53  (goal diff. would be 7th in NHL)
Shots on goal per game: 31.7
Shots allowed per game: 27.8

Shooting percentage for: 9.3%
Shooting percentage against: 9.1%

Overtime games: 19-18 (10-8 ot/9-10 so)


Tonight's matchups showing how the teams compare in eight statistical evaluations which factor in strength of schedule and an overall number in blue at the end (red numbers are negative):

Washington	0.9	0.1	0.6	0.1	2.0	1.0	3.3	0.6	-0.6
New Jersey	0.5	0.9	1.7	0.4	1.5	2.7	1.4	2.6	12.1
Montreal	0.7	0.4	0.0	0.8	2.3	1.5	1.8	2.0	-2.0
Detroit	0.2	0.1	0.7	0.4	1.9	1.4	0.3	0.8	-0.5
Colorado	0.3	0.1	1.4	0.1	3.0	1.5	1.8	0.7	-0.4
Florida	0.2	0.4	0.1	1.2	4.9	2.9	1.9	2.0	4.3
Nashville	0.0	0.0	0.9	1.3	2.6	2.4	1.0	0.9	-1.8
Calgary	1.4	0.4	0.7	0.5	0.8	2.8	5.2	2.3	-3.5
Phoenix	0.7	0.2	0.7	1.6	0.4	0.7	2.3	0.4	1.0
Edmonton	1.1	0.9	0.4	1.3	9.2	3.7	0.3	1.7	-13.6

Tonight's plays

New Jersey -0.5 -106 (reg)
Phoenix -132