NHL

Yesterday: -2.00

A bad night last night and then some as I'll explain. Had two good-sized dogs at +150 and +190 and was tied 3-3 late in both games only to lose them both within five minutes of each other. Buffalo lost in a shootout and Washington never trailed until 1:54 left in the game and that's how it ended. While entering the data from the games, it occurred to me that I never should have played either one because I don't play road teams on the second of back to back nights. Haven't played one all year and I've checked this every night for two and a half months this year. Somehow, I forgot to check last night and, of course, both teams were in this situation and I paid the full price of two units for my slip up.


YTD:  -0.95 units (@ 1 unit each)

ROI: -0.6 cents on every dollar risked
Average win: 1.07 units
Average loss: 1.16 units
Average money line: -109
Winning % required to break even: 52.2%
Current YTD winning %: 51.9%

Favorites: 42-42 -10.72  (PL favs = 17-9 +6.05)
Underdogs: 22-19 +7.77  (PL dogs = 7-4 +3.87)
Even money: 6-4 +2.00  (PL even = 4-0 +4.00)

SU record: 80-61
Pythagorean record: 81-60  (based on goal differential below)


Handicapping the handicapping

Goals scored per game: 2.98  (would be 6th in NHL)
Goals allowed per game: 2.53  (goal diff. would be 7th in NHL)
Shots on goal per game: 31.7
Shots allowed per game: 27.4

Shooting percentage for: 9.4%
Shooting percentage against: 9.2%

Overtime games: 17-17 (8-8 ot/9-9 so)


Tonight's matchups showing how the teams compare against each other in 8 statistical evaluations (+/-) which factor in strength of schedule and an overall number in blue at the end:

Nashville	0.8	0.6	2.5	2.6	5.4	3.7	4.5	3.3	-9.4
Philadelphia	0.2	0.3	1.7	0.0	1.5	0.8	1.2	1.4	-2.8
Detroit	0.4	0.0	0.1	0.5	0.5	1.8	1.5	0.6	1.8
NY Rangers	0.9	0.7	1.6	0.3	5.5	0.4	1.5	2.6	7.7
Montreal	0.4	0.1	1.0	1.5	0.3	2.5	1.7	1.2	3.3
Ottawa	0.1	0.1	1.3	3.5	2.1	3.6	0.2	0.8	-10.1
NY Islanders	0.8	0.1	0.7	0.2	0.4	0.3	2.7	0.6	0.9
Tampa Bay	0.5	0.2	2.5	1.3	5.6	3.6	0.1	0.5	1.1
San Jose	0.4	0.5	3.1	0.6	2.1	0.3	0.7	1.9	4.1
Florida	0.4	0.0	0.9	1.2	4.3	2.0	0.0	0.6	1.3
Los Angeles	0.5	0.5	0.4	3.2	6.3	2.9	2.9	0.8	13.1
St. Louis	1.7	0.8	1.4	0.2	0.6	2.4	6.4	2.2	9.9
Edmonton	0.5	0.6	0.2	1.3	5.5	1.8	0.5	1.3	-9.5
Minnesota	0.0	0.1	0.9	0.6	3.4	0.5	1.3	0.2	2.4
Boston	0.4	0.1	0.2	0.6	2.0	0.4	0.5	0.1	0.2
Dallas	0.3	0.4	1.1	1.4	1.1	1.5	1.3	0.8	-7.6
New Jersey	0.0	0.6	1.5	0.6	0.5	2.9	0.2	1.2	9.1
Colorado	0.0	0.2	0.6	0.2	6.1	2.7	2.0	0.2	-2.8
Vancouver	0.6	0.1	1.9	0.0	0.4	0.1	2.3	0.2	0.7
Phoenix	0.2	0.0	0.4	1.6	1.0	1.3	0.9	0.5	3.0
Winnipeg	0.4	0.6	1.4	0.7	1.0	0.0	1.1	2.1	-7.6
Calgary	1.3	0.0	0.1	0.4	1.8	1.7	4.6	0.5	0.4

Tonight's plays

Montreal +110
Minnesota -140
Boston -114