Friday, January 31, 2014

NHL

Yesterday: 2-3 -1.43


YTD:  -2.43 units (@ 1 unit each)


Handicapping the handicapping

ROI: -1.2 cents on every dollar risked
Average win: 1.06 units
Average loss: 1.17 units
Average money line: -110
Winning % required to break even: 52.5%
Current YTD winning %: 51.8%

Favorites: 54-55 -14.83  (PL favs = 21-16 +1.13)
Underdogs: 26-20 +11.40  (PL dogs = 8-4 +4.90)
Even money: 6-5 +1.00  (PL even = 4-0 +4.00)

SU record: 98-74
Pythagorean record: 97-75  (based on goal differential below)

Goals scored per game: 2.98  (would be 6th in NHL)
Goals allowed per game: 2.59  (goal diff. would be 7th in NHL)
Shots on goal per game: 31.8
Shots allowed per game: 27.8

Shooting percentage for: 9.3%
Shooting percentage against: 9.3%

Overtime games: 20-18 (11-8 ot/9-10 so)


Tonight's matchups showing how the teams compare in eight statistical evaluations which factor in strength of schedule (red numbers are negative) and also an overall number in blue at the end:

St. Louis 0.7 0.5 0.8 0.2 3.8 3.8 1.3 0.5 7.3
Carolina 0.2 0.4 2.0 1.6 3.8 0.7 0.3 1.2 1.4
NY Islanders 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.2 1.6 0.4 0.7 0.7 -4.0
NY Rangers 1.2 0.9 2.7 0.6 4.5 0.1 2.8 3.0 10.1
Washington 0.2 0.1 1.8 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.6 0.3 0.1
Detroit 0.3 0.1 0.6 0.3 3.2 3.3 0.3 1.0 -2.3
New Jersey 0.3 0.7 1.1 0.8 2.1 3.4 0.6 1.4 10.4
Nashville 0.3 0.3 0.4 1.1 1.0 0.5 0.6 1.2 -4.9
Vancouver 0.9 0.3 1.3 0.4 3.9 2.0 2.1 0.3 -4.6
Winnipeg 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.2 1.1 0.8 1.3 0.7 1.6


Tonight's plays

NY Rangers -0.5 -109 (reg)
Winnipeg -113

I will be out of town for the next several days so uncertain if I'll be able to post.

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