Saturday, December 21, 2013

NFL

Documented Talksport/Scoresline record

Career:  317-248-19  (56%) ATS

2002:  58-47-4  (55%)
2003:  32-23-1  (58%)
2004:  58-64-1  (48%)
2005:  48-34-3  (59%)
2006:  34-29-3  (54%)
2007:  34-24-4  (59%)
2012:  31-19-2  (62%)

2013:  22-8-1 (73%)

Last week: 3-0-1


The last two weeks get a little tricky as we all know so I'm going to continue to play it close to the vest. No different than the rest of the season for me, though.


Oakland +10

San Diego has only been favored four times all year, the most being by a touchdown at Jacksonville back in October when the Jaguars were still winless. Now ten point favorites over the loose, nothing-to-lose Raiders and I have no choice but to take these points in a divisional battle. It helps that I have a couple situations favoring them as well, such as a bounce back situation that is 413-316-16 ATS in the last 30 or so years (56.7% ATS, 65.4 units, 3.59 z-score, 54% L5Y, 12-4 TY).


Cleveland +1

The Browns have lost their last three games by a combined 12 points. They should have beaten the Patriots two weeks ago were it not for a miracle comeback by Tom Brady and lost a shootout to the Bears last week at home after leading in that game as well, so they're playing competitively but just not closing the deal. I think they catch the Jets on a down note this week.


New England +2

The Patriots are 20-5 ATS in their L25 on the road following a loss.


New Orleans +3

See "SharpePlayer" thread for a brief opinion on this game.



13-point teaser (4 teams, -120 odds)

Indianapolis +19.5
Cincinnati +4.5
Denver +3
San Francisco -2 (Monday)

 

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