NFL
Documented Talksport/Scoresline record
Career: 317-248-19 (56%) ATS
2002: 58-47-4 (55%)
2003: 32-23-1 (58%)
2004: 58-64-1 (48%)
2005: 48-34-3 (59%)
2006: 34-29-3 (54%)
2007: 34-24-4 (59%)
2012: 31-19-2 (62%)
2013: 22-8-1 (73%)
Last week: 3-0-1
The last two weeks get a little tricky as we all know so I'm going to continue to play it close to the vest. No different than the rest of the season for me, though.
Oakland +10
San Diego has only been favored four times all year, the most being by a touchdown at Jacksonville back in October when the Jaguars were still winless. Now ten point favorites over the loose, nothing-to-lose Raiders and I have no choice but to take these points in a divisional battle. It helps that I have a couple situations favoring them as well, such as a bounce back situation that is 413-316-16 ATS in the last 30 or so years (56.7% ATS, 65.4 units, 3.59 z-score, 54% L5Y, 12-4 TY).
Cleveland +1
The Browns have lost their last three games by a combined 12 points. They should have beaten the Patriots two weeks ago were it not for a miracle comeback by Tom Brady and lost a shootout to the Bears last week at home after leading in that game as well, so they're playing competitively but just not closing the deal. I think they catch the Jets on a down note this week.
New England +2
The Patriots are 20-5 ATS in their L25 on the road following a loss.
New Orleans +3
See "SharpePlayer" thread for a brief opinion on this game.
13-point teaser (4 teams, -120 odds)
Indianapolis +19.5
Cincinnati +4.5
Denver +3
San Francisco -2 (Monday)
Documented Talksport/Scoresline record
Career: 317-248-19 (56%) ATS
2002: 58-47-4 (55%)
2003: 32-23-1 (58%)
2004: 58-64-1 (48%)
2005: 48-34-3 (59%)
2006: 34-29-3 (54%)
2007: 34-24-4 (59%)
2012: 31-19-2 (62%)
2013: 22-8-1 (73%)
Last week: 3-0-1
The last two weeks get a little tricky as we all know so I'm going to continue to play it close to the vest. No different than the rest of the season for me, though.
Oakland +10
San Diego has only been favored four times all year, the most being by a touchdown at Jacksonville back in October when the Jaguars were still winless. Now ten point favorites over the loose, nothing-to-lose Raiders and I have no choice but to take these points in a divisional battle. It helps that I have a couple situations favoring them as well, such as a bounce back situation that is 413-316-16 ATS in the last 30 or so years (56.7% ATS, 65.4 units, 3.59 z-score, 54% L5Y, 12-4 TY).
Cleveland +1
The Browns have lost their last three games by a combined 12 points. They should have beaten the Patriots two weeks ago were it not for a miracle comeback by Tom Brady and lost a shootout to the Bears last week at home after leading in that game as well, so they're playing competitively but just not closing the deal. I think they catch the Jets on a down note this week.
New England +2
The Patriots are 20-5 ATS in their L25 on the road following a loss.
New Orleans +3
See "SharpePlayer" thread for a brief opinion on this game.
13-point teaser (4 teams, -120 odds)
Indianapolis +19.5
Cincinnati +4.5
Denver +3
San Francisco -2 (Monday)
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