Tuesday, December 31, 2013

NHL

Yesterday: -1.37

An undeserved loss with Vancouver last night, who outshot Philly 44-27, lost the lead with :47 left and then lost the shootout. Blue number plays at the end of each matchup are 77-41 +31.69 units (1 unit each) and an ROI of 27%. Happy New Year.


YTD:  +2.20 units (@ 1 unit each)

ROI: +2 cents on every dollar risked
Average win: 1.07 units
Average loss: 1.17 units
Average money line: -109
Winning % required to break even: 52.1%
Current YTD winning %: 53.1%

Favorites: 32-30 -5.69  (PL favs = 12-3 +8.63)
Underdogs: 18-12 +9.89  (PL dogs = 5-4 +1.65)
Even money: 2-4 -2.00  (PL even = 1-0 +1.00)

SU record: 61-43


Handicapping the handicapping

Goals scored per game: 3.02  (NHL avg = 2.64)
Goals allowed per game: 2.49
Shots on goal per game: 31.4  (NHL avg = 29.9)
Shots allowed per game: 27.2

Shooting percentage for: 9.6%
Shooting percentage against: 9.2%

Overtime results: 15-13 (6-5 ot/9-8 so)


Tonight's matchups. 8 different statistical ratings (+/-) factoring strength of schedule and an overall number in blue at the end:

Pittsburgh 0.7 0.2 0.5 0.3 2.8 1.5 3.4 1.0 1.6
New Jersey 0.3 0.0 0.1 1.2 1.4 2.5 1.5 0.8 3.8
NY Rangers 0.5 0.3 1.7 0.9 1.0 0.4 1.9 1.2 -1.1
Florida 0.4 0.3 1.2 1.2 1.8 0.6 2.0 1.2 -0.2
St. Louis 1.1 0.2 2.5 1.3 1.1 3.0 3.7 0.4 5.9
Minnesota 1.0 0.3 0.9 1.4 5.3 2.5 2.0 0.3 -1.8
NY Islanders 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.7 3.7 0.9 1.3 1.2 -6.4
Boston 0.6 0.0 0.9 0.2 0.4 2.2 1.9 0.7 -1.3
Montreal 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.4 2.9 2.2 1.6 0.2 4.6
Carolina 0.0 0.1 0.8 4.3 2.1 0.8 0.7 0.6 -9.6
Buffalo 0.3 0.5 1.4 1.9 4.3 2.1 0.2 2.2 7.9
Winnipeg 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 2.5 1.9 2.6 2.8 -3.5
San Jose 0.3 0.1 0.3 1.0 5.0 0.0 2.3 0.2 -2.8
Anaheim 1.0 0.6 1.3 0.3 2.7 2.5 2.7 1.4 8.1
Los Angeles 1.1 1.2 2.1 1.6 0.9 0.1 3.4 4.0 15.0
Dallas 0.4 0.0 0.3 1.6 2.0 1.4 0.6 0.4 -4.2
Columbus 0.5 0.2 0.7 1.5 1.2 1.1 2.2 1.0 4.5
Colorado 0.3 0.2 1.0 2.0 1.2 1.1 0.7 0.2 -6.1
Edmonton 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.1 4.8 2.8 1.0 0.1 -5.9
Phoenix 0.0 0.1 1.3 0.5 1.4 1.2 0.4 0.1 -0.4
Philadelphia 0.1 0.7 1.5 0.0 1.1 0.3 0.8 2.7 -7.3
Calgary 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.5 3.9 0.7 0.2 1.5 6.7


Tonight's plays

St. Louis -130
Columbus +140
Phoenix -0.5 -120 (reg)

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