Wednesday, December 18, 2013

NHL

Yesterday: +2.30

A great comeback by the Lightning helps me go 3-1 +2.30 last night. Vancouver did blow a third period lead and lost in a shootout, however, to prevent the four-game sweep. The blue matchup numbers went 3-1 as well. I forgot to mention LA qualified as well but you could have figured that out on your own since I give the parameters of what to look for: 7.4+ differential for road teams and 10.5+ for home teams. The current results are now 65-32 +29.63 units with a 31% ROI. New Jersey and Pittsburgh both qualify tonight but I'm passing on the Penguins because I have conflicting data.


YTD:  +2.88 units (@ 1 unit each)

ROI: 3.2%
Average win: 1.07 units
Average loss: 1.17 units
Average money line: -109
Winning % required to break even: 52.3%
Current YTD winning %: 53.9%

Favorites: 26-22 -2.11  (PL favs = 11-1 +9.86)
Underdogs: 14-9 +7.99  (PL dogs = 5-3 +2.65)
Even money: 1-4 -3.00

SU record: 48-34


Handicapping the handicapping

Goals scored per game: 3.01  (NHL avg = 2.64)
Goals allowed per game: 2.41
Shots on goal per game: 30.7  (NHL avg = 29.9)
Shots allowed per game: 27.1

Shooting percentage for: 9.8%
Shooting percentage against: 8.9%

Overtime results: 10-11 -3.26 (3-5 ot/7-6 so)


Tonight's matchups. 8 different statistical ratings (+/-) factoring strength of schedule and an overall number in blue at the end. This is for informational purposes and not my sole means of capping:

Ottawa 0.5 0.6 1.3 1.4 5.5 1.4 2.8 1.6 -9.6
New Jersey 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.9 3.0 5.6 1.1 2.6 2.8
Pittsburgh 1.0 0.4 1.2 0.3 0.4 0.6 3.2 1.5 4.4
NY Rangers 0.6 0.6 1.7 1.2 1.3 0.8 2.6 2.4 -3.4


Tonight's play

New Jersey -125

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