Sunday, December 29, 2013

NHL

Yesterday: -2.14

Really bad beat with Anaheim last night, leading 2-0 with less than 5 minutes left. They lose the lead with :44 left, then come right back and win :51 into overtime but I still lose my wager because they didn't win in regulation. This marks the third time already I've lost a regulation wager that won SU in overtime, the only way this wager can hurt me. The way this wager benefits me, a 1-goal win in regulation (which is much more common), remarkably has yet to happen.


YTD:  +2.12 units (@ 1 unit each)

ROI: 1.9%
Average win: 1.07 units
Average loss: 1.16 units
Average money line: -109
Winning % required to break even: 52.1%
Current YTD winning %: 53.1%

Favorites: 32-29 -4.32  (PL favs = 12-3 +8.63)
Underdogs: 17-12 +8.44  (PL dogs = 5-4 +1.65)
Even money: 2-4 -2.00  (PL even = 1-0 +1.00)

SU record: 60-42


Handicapping the handicapping

Goals scored per game: 3.03  (NHL avg = 2.64)
Goals allowed per game: 2.49
Shots on goal per game: 31.2  (NHL avg = 29.9)
Shots allowed per game: 27.1

Shooting percentage for: 9.7%
Shooting percentage against: 9.2%

Overtime results: 14-12 (5-5 ot/9-7 so)


Tonight's matchups. 8 different statistical ratings (+/-) factoring strength of schedule and an overall number in blue at the end:

Montreal 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.4 3.9 1.3 0.5 0.7 4.7
Florida 0.7 0.4 1.2 1.0 0.5 0.7 2.6 1.3 -2.7
Washington 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.6 5.3 5.4 1.1 0.0 -6.4
Buffalo 0.3 0.5 1.5 1.8 1.4 0.3 0.6 1.6 8.1
Pittsburgh 0.5 0.2 0.8 0.4 2.4 1.3 2.6 0.8 0.0
Columbus 0.5 0.2 0.6 1.2 2.2 1.5 2.4 1.3 4.2
St. Louis 1.1 0.1 2.6 1.4 1.7 3.0 3.2 0.7 5.3
Dallas 0.4 0.0 0.5 2.0 1.0 3.8 1.5 1.1 -6.3
NY Rangers 0.8 0.4 2.1 1.0 1.9 0.6 3.3 1.7 -1.8
Tampa Bay 0.2 0.7 1.4 1.2 2.4 0.7 0.0 2.4 5.3
Carolina 0.1 0.0 0.7 3.7 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.1 -7.8
Toronto 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 4.4 3.7 1.0 1.1 -2.5
Vancouver 0.7 0.9 0.0 0.5 0.8 1.4 2.3 2.6 10.6
Calgary 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.4 3.3 1.2 0.7 1.6 7.1
Winnipeg 0.5 0.7 1.1 1.2 1.8 1.6 2.4 3.1 -4.0
Colorado 0.7 0.6 2.2 1.9 1.9 1.1 1.7 1.6 -10.4
NY Islanders 0.7 0.2 0.9 0.8 3.5 0.1 1.4 0.7 -3.9
Minnesota 0.9 0.1 0.6 1.1 4.9 1.1 1.8 0.8 2.9
Anaheim 1.1 0.6 0.1 1.1 1.5 1.4 3.5 1.7 9.0
San Jose 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.7 5.4 0.4 3.0 0.8 -4.3


Tonight's play

Winnipeg +145

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