NHL

Yesterday: +1.00

St. Louis is a 6-3 winner. My teams have now scored 2.99 goals per game which would rank 7th in the NHL (0.01 away from 6th-ranked Pittsburgh). My goal differential is now 0.48 which would rank 8th. In fact, I have a higher goal differential, higher shot differential and higher shooting percentage differential in all plays this year yet I'm in the red. I haven't been too unlucky in OT games at 8-9 so it is likely more to do with losing close games and winning more lopsided games (in my last three games, my teams have outscored the opponent 19-5). Home favorites have hurt me as well. Home teams are still only at 53.2% in the league but climbing to their usual 56%. Bottom line, the handicapping numbers look good so the results are likely to follow if the capping stays strong, mainly the goal differential.


YTD:  -2.57 units (@ 1 unit each)

ROI: -3.5%
Average win: 1.06 units
Average loss: 1.18 units
Average money line: -111
Winning % required to break even: 52.6%
Current YTD winning %: 50.8%

Favorites: 20-20 -5.62  (PL favs = 8-0 +8.00)
Underdogs: 11-8 +5.05  (PL dogs = 5-2 +3.65)
Even money: 1-3 -2.00

SU record: 38-31


Handicapping the handicapping

Goals scored per game: 2.99  (NHL avg = 2.64)
Goals allowed per game: 2.51
Shots on goal per game: 30.6  (NHL avg = 29.9)
Shots allowed per game: 26.6

Shooting percentage for: 9.8%
Shooting percentage against: 9.4%

Overtime results: 8-9 -3.03 (3-4 ot/5-5 so)


Tonight's matchups. 8 different statistical ratings (+/-) factoring strength of schedule and an overall number in blue at the end. This is for informational purposes and not my sole means of capping:

New Jersey	0.1	0.1	0.7	0.5	0.8	5.6	0.1	2.5	2.7
Pittsburgh	0.9	0.4	1.4	0.0	1.8	0.8	2.6	1.3	4.8
Washington	0.0	0.2	0.5	0.2	6.4	6.4	1.8	1.1	-6.1
Florida	0.1	0.1	1.3	0.5	3.1	0.5	1.3	0.5	-2.0
Edmonton	0.7	0.0	0.8	0.7	1.0	1.7	2.6	0.7	1.1
Vancouver	0.8	0.7	0.7	0.2	3.4	0.8	1.7	2.1	7.7

Tonight's plays

Florida +112
Vancouver -0.5 -133 (1st 60 min)