YTD: 17-7 ATS (71%)


Last week: 4-1


Over 70% ATS at Thanksgiving for the second straight year (posted here as Stat Master last season). I had never done that before in my career which is why I'm mentioning it. Granted, I've only posted 24 plays because I started late but I expect to have 35-40 by the end (usually 50-60). I finished last season 31-19-2 (62%). I'm downgrading my units by around 15% to preserve the cushion I've built up because I respect the laws of probability.


Houston +7.5

Letdown spot for the Patriots after that brilliant comeback against the Broncos last week. They don't let down often so it's best to have supporting situations on the opponent as well and I have two to go along with the one against NE. When I have three angles supporting the same play, they have gone 15-3-1 ATS (83%) since tracking began five seasons ago. One sit on Houston is 410-316-16 (56.5% over 742 games, +62.4 units, 3.49 z-score, 54% L5Y, 9-4 TY)


7-pt teasers

Indianapolis +3.5
New Orleans +12

Carolina Pk
Cincinnati +8