Friday, December 27, 2013

NHL

Monday: +0.67

NHL resumes after the three-day break. I don't expect much change in each team's flow like there will be after the long Olympic break in February. I'm about one-third into my season window (I started November 2nd) so lots of hockey left all the way to April 13th.


YTD:  +5.46 units (@ 1 unit each)

ROI: 5.2%
Average win: 1.07 units
Average loss: 1.17 units
Average money line: -110
Winning % required to break even: 52.3%
Current YTD winning %: 55.1%

Favorites: 30-26 -2.98  (PL favs = 11-2 +8.68)
Underdogs: 17-10 +10.44  (PL dogs = 5-4 +1.65)
Even money: 2-4 -2.00  (PL even = 1-0 +1.00)

SU record: 57-38


Handicapping the handicapping

Goals scored per game: 3.03  (NHL avg = 2.64)
Goals allowed per game: 2.47
Shots on goal per game: 31.1  (NHL avg = 29.9)
Shots allowed per game: 26.9

Shooting percentage for: 9.8%
Shooting percentage against: 9.2%

Overtime results: 13-11 (4-5 ot/9-6 so)


Tonight's matchups. 8 different statistical ratings (+/-) factoring strength of schedule and an overall number in blue at the end:

Columbus 0.6 0.1 0.9 1.3 3.8 2.6 3.2 1.0 1.8
New Jersey 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.8 1.6 4.6 0.1 2.4 1.8
NY Rangers 0.4 0.4 2.5 1.1 1.0 0.3 1.7 1.5 -1.6
Washington 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.1 6.9 5.8 1.4 0.1 -8.0
Pittsburgh 0.8 0.3 0.2 0.9 2.7 1.9 3.6 1.6 3.8
Carolina 0.2 0.1 1.6 3.8 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.3 -9.7
Ottawa 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.3 4.2 1.8 1.4 0.4 -8.4
Boston 0.7 0.3 0.8 0.1 2.3 0.2 1.7 1.0 2.3
Buffalo 0.4 0.4 1.5 1.6 0.4 0.1 1.2 1.4 7.6
Toronto 0.2 0.0 0.4 0.6 4.5 3.6 0.6 0.9 -3.7
Colorado 0.6 0.4 2.1 2.4 1.6 1.0 1.4 1.2 -10.1
Chicago 1.3 0.0 2.3 0.3 4.9 3.7 2.7 1.1 2.8
Minnesota 0.7 0.4 0.9 1.2 4.0 0.1 1.6 1.3 6.3
Winnipeg 0.7 0.5 0.4 0.6 1.3 1.7 2.7 2.2 -2.6
Nashville 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.1 1.1 0.7 3.7 1.4 -2.9
Dallas 0.2 0.2 0.0 1.5 0.4 3.4 0.6 0.4 -6.7
Edmonton 0.4 0.5 1.1 1.3 3.9 3.4 0.2 0.6 -9.6
Calgary 0.2 0.5 0.0 0.2 2.9 1.6 1.7 1.4 6.9
San Jose 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.7 6.4 0.2 2.9 0.9 -4.4
Phoenix 0.0 0.1 1.2 0.1 1.2 1.2 0.4 0.6 -0.3


Tonight's plays

NY Rangers +103
Pittsburgh -115
Buffalo +143
Chicago -0.5 -125 (reg)
Calgary -120

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