Monday, December 30, 2013

NHL

Yesterday: +1.45

Winnipeg pushes across the winning goal late in overtime for the 2-1 victory. OT games have turned around nicely at 15-12 after a 5-8 start.


YTD:  +3.57 units (@ 1 unit each)

ROI: 3.2%
Average win: 1.07 units
Average loss: 1.16 units
Average money line: -108
Winning % required to break even: 52.0%
Current YTD winning %: 53.6%

Favorites: 32-29 -4.32  (PL favs = 12-3 +8.63)
Underdogs: 18-12 +9.89  (PL dogs = 5-4 +1.65)
Even money: 2-4 -2.00  (PL even = 1-0 +1.00)

SU record: 61-42


Handicapping the handicapping

Goals scored per game: 3.02  (NHL avg = 2.64)
Goals allowed per game: 2.48
Shots on goal per game: 31.3  (NHL avg = 29.9)
Shots allowed per game: 27.2

Shooting percentage for: 9.7%
Shooting percentage against: 9.1%

Overtime results: 15-12 (6-5 ot/9-7 so)


Tonight's matchups. 8 different statistical ratings (+/-) factoring strength of schedule and an overall number in blue at the end:

Washington 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.7 1.8 3.1 0.1 0.3 -3.8
Ottawa 0.2 0.3 1.1 2.7 0.8 3.1 0.6 0.1 -10.3
Detroit 0.8 0.2 0.2 0.5 2.3 3.1 3.7 1.9 0.2
Nashville 0.7 0.5 0.7 0.3 0.9 0.3 2.6 1.6 -5.1
Los Angeles 1.1 1.0 1.4 1.9 0.6 0.0 3.7 3.6 14.4
Chicago 1.8 0.1 1.8 0.7 4.2 4.0 4.5 1.2 4.0
Philadelphia 0.5 0.7 1.7 0.3 1.7 1.6 2.6 3.2 -7.4
Vancouver 1.1 1.2 0.2 1.0 0.5 1.6 3.8 3.8 15.3


Tonight's play

Vancouver -137

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