Friday, December 20, 2013

NHL

Yesterday: -0.01

Split my two games last night. My underdogs are now 15-9 +9.19 on the season.


YTD:  +3.87 units (@ 1 unit each)

ROI: 4.2%
Average win: 1.07 units
Average loss: 1.18 units
Average money line: -109
Winning % required to break even: 52.3%
Current YTD winning %: 54.4%

Favorites: 27-23 -2.32  (PL favs = 11-1 +9.86)
Underdogs: 15-9 +9.19  (PL dogs = 5-3 +2.65)
Even money: 1-4 -3.00

SU record: 50-35


Handicapping the handicapping

Goals scored per game: 3.02  (NHL avg = 2.64)
Goals allowed per game: 2.42
Shots on goal per game: 30.7  (NHL avg = 29.9)
Shots allowed per game: 27.2

Shooting percentage for: 9.8%
Shooting percentage against: 8.9%

Overtime results: 10-11 -3.26 (3-5 ot/7-6 so)


Tonight's matchups. 8 different statistical ratings (+/-) factoring strength of schedule and an overall number in blue at the end. This is for informational purposes and not my sole means of capping:

Anaheim 1.2 0.4 0.7 1.7 0.3 1.1 3.9 1.6 6.8
New Jersey 0.3 0.1 0.3 0.6 4.2 6.0 0.6 2.7 2.7
Washington 0.5 0.7 0.7 0.6 3.9 4.9 0.7 0.8 -8.0
Carolina 0.2 0.1 0.1 2.3 0.3 0.9 0.6 0.1 -3.8
NY Islanders 1.6 0.7 1.3 0.4 2.0 1.1 4.8 2.0 -8.5
NY Rangers 0.6 0.6 2.4 1.3 0.2 0.3 2.0 2.3 -3.7
Florida 0.1 0.0 1.0 0.9 3.8 1.3 1.6 0.3 2.8
Winnipeg 0.5 0.3 0.4 1.1 1.0 0.5 2.0 0.8 -0.6
Vancouver 0.8 0.4 0.7 0.2 0.8 0.3 2.3 1.5 4.5
Chicago 1.2 0.1 0.9 1.0 2.4 2.5 3.3 0.5 0.1


Tonight's play

NY Rangers -0.5 +110 (reg)

I was also very close to playing Carolina which I eliminated at the last minute. I'm being very selective but if you need another play, the Hurricanes wouldn't be a bad one.

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