NHL

Yesterday: 2-0 +2.00

To update the overall blue number in the matchups below, at differentials of 7.4+ for road teams and 10.5+ for home teams, and not playing the largest favorites over -180 on road and -260 at home, the combined record is now 56-26 +27.43 units (68.3% with a 33% ROI).


YTD:  29-31-5  -5.67 units (@ 1 unit each)

R.O.I.: -8.0%
Average win: 1.07 units
Average loss: 1.18 units
Breakeven price: -111
Breakeven winning %: 52.5%
Current YTD winning %: 48.3%


Handicapping the handicapping

Goals scored per game: 2.8
Goals allowed per game: 2.5
Shots on goal per game: 30.5
Shots allowed per game: 26.5

Shooting percentage for: 9.1%
Shooting percentage against: 9.5%

Overtime results: 8-9 -3.03 (3-4 ot/5-5 so)

Losses where my team outshot opponent: 22
Wins where my team got outshot by opponent: 10

Comments: I've had 65 wagers involving 66 teams (1 two-team parlay). 48 of these 66 teams had as many or more shots than their opponent (73%).


Tonight's matchups. 8 different statistical ratings (+/-) factoring strength of schedule and an overall number in blue at the end. This is for informational purposes and not my sole means of capping:

Los Angeles	0.3	1.0	1.9	0.1	1.6	1.8	0.8	3.2	11.4
Montreal	0.9	0.5	0.7	1.8	3.5	2.2	4.0	2.5	7.9
New Jersey	0.5	0.3	0.5	0.9	0.7	5.6	2.1	0.8	7.8
Columbus	0.0	0.2	2.0	2.1	7.1	0.0	2.4	0.7	6.3
Ottawa	0.7	0.9	0.9	1.1	4.8	0.9	3.6	2.8	-11.8
Buffalo	1.1	0.2	0.5	0.5	9.0	3.7	1.4	0.5	-2.9
Tampa Bay	0.1	0.4	1.1	0.2	1.8	0.2	0.6	1.5	3.7
Washington	0.3	0.1	1.2	0.1	5.1	5.7	2.2	1.7	-2.5
Detroit	0.1	0.0	0.6	0.7	2.7	2.2	0.5	0.6	0.0
Florida	0.4	0.3	1.7	0.9	2.6	0.5	2.2	1.3	-5.0
Nashville	0.2	0.4	2.3	1.2	2.6	0.2	1.5	1.2	6.2
NY Rangers	0.3	0.1	1.8	1.4	0.7	0.7	1.2	0.3	1.0
St. Louis	0.8	0.0	0.5	0.1	3.1	3.8	1.8	1.0	2.3
Winnipeg	0.4	0.1	1.0	0.1	1.9	2.7	0.8	0.4	-2.9
Chicago	1.0	0.2	0.6	1.7	4.1	3.3	2.0	0.3	0.3
Dallas	0.7	0.3	0.3	0.8	2.3	0.9	1.7	1.4	1.0
Phoenix	0.1	0.4	1.4	0.8	0.1	2.8	0.2	0.4	-6.9
Colorado	0.6	0.4	2.2	1.1	2.1	1.7	1.5	0.8	-7.1
Boston	0.5	0.4	1.3	1.5	1.3	1.8	1.3	0.8	1.9
Calgary	0.4	0.4	0.1	0.7	5.4	0.1	0.3	1.3	-2.4
Carolina	0.2	0.0	0.0	2.1	1.8	0.8	1.3	0.2	-4.8
Edmonton	0.3	0.2	0.4	0.3	2.4	1.5	1.6	1.2	2.0
NY Islanders	1.5	1.1	0.4	0.7	2.6	1.6	6.0	4.4	-11.7
San Jose	0.5	0.2	1.7	1.1	4.4	0.6	0.4	0.7	-1.0

Tonight's play

Los Angeles +110