Saturday, December 21, 2013

NHL

Yesterday: -1.00

Rangers lose 5-3. Blue number plays tonight: Los Angeles, Detroit, Tampa Bay, St. Louis (Phoenix qualified earlier but already in progress).


YTD:  +2.87 units (@ 1 unit each)

ROI: 3.1%
Average win: 1.07 units
Average loss: 1.17 units
Average money line: -109
Winning % required to break even: 52.2%
Current YTD winning %: 53.8%

Favorites: 27-23 -2.32  (PL favs = 11-1 +9.86)
Underdogs: 15-10 +8.19  (PL dogs = 5-4 +1.65)
Even money: 1-4 -3.00

SU record: 50-36


Handicapping the handicapping

Goals scored per game: 3.02  (NHL avg = 2.64)
Goals allowed per game: 2.45
Shots on goal per game: 30.6  (NHL avg = 29.9)
Shots allowed per game: 27.1

Shooting percentage for: 9.9%
Shooting percentage against: 9.1%

Overtime results: 10-11 -3.26 (3-5 ot/7-6 so)


Tonight's matchups. 8 different statistical ratings (+/-) factoring strength of schedule and an overall number in blue at the end. This is for informational purposes and not my sole means of capping:

Calgary 0.0 0.5 0.6 0.9 6.0 0.5 1.6 1.7 6.2
Pittsburgh 1.3 0.6 0.3 1.0 0.3 1.0 4.3 2.2 7.3
Phoenix 0.2 0.1 1.3 0.2 2.6 0.4 1.3 0.3 -1.9
Ottawa 0.8 0.7 0.2 1.1 5.3 1.4 3.7 1.8 -9.6
Colorado 0.6 0.4 1.9 2.5 1.7 0.9 1.6 1.0 -9.3
Los Angeles 1.3 1.1 1.5 0.7 1.7 1.2 4.9 4.0 11.8
Detroit 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.3 1.7 3.1 0.3 0.1 3.6
Toronto 0.5 0.3 0.8 0.6 3.5 3.7 0.6 0.1 -6.8
Philadelphia 0.3 0.6 1.3 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.9 2.1 -6.7
Columbus 0.5 0.1 0.9 1.6 3.8 1.4 3.1 0.8 3.8
New Jersey 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.7 3.7 6.0 0.1 2.6 3.1
Washington 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.1 4.3 5.6 0.1 0.1 -7.8
Montreal 0.5 0.2 0.2 1.5 2.1 0.5 1.2 0.6 5.5
Nashville 0.1 0.3 1.3 0.9 0.2 0.9 0.5 0.8 5.5
Buffalo 0.8 0.2 1.3 1.1 2.3 1.3 2.3 1.1 3.7
Boston 0.1 0.1 1.0 1.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.5 -3.7
Carolina 0.2 0.1 0.2 3.3 1.5 1.4 0.3 0.1 -5.1
Tampa Bay 0.4 0.9 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.2 1.2 3.1 7.9
Anaheim 1.2 0.3 0.0 0.8 0.2 0.8 4.1 1.3 4.4
NY Islanders 1.3 0.6 1.8 0.3 3.3 0.9 3.6 1.7 -7.1
St. Louis 0.5 0.0 2.1 1.0 1.9 4.1 1.2 1.4 4.0
Edmonton 0.3 0.3 1.3 0.3 5.7 4.7 0.5 0.4 -6.2
Dallas 0.4 0.1 0.3 1.2 0.7 3.2 1.4 0.6 -5.3
San Jose 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.6 7.0 0.6 1.7 0.8 -2.8


Tonight's plays

Los Angeles -0.5 -118 (reg)
Detroit +110
Tampa Bay -145
St. Louis -0.5 +100 (reg)

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