Monday, December 9, 2013

NHL

Saturday: 1-1-1 +0.00

6-6 -0.56 last week. Looking forward to finally getting it going in this still young season.


YTD:  27-31-5  -7.67 units (@ 1 unit each)

R.O.I.: -11.3%
Average win: 1.07 units
Average loss: 1.18 units
Breakeven price: -110
Breakeven winning %: 52.4%
Current YTD winning %: 46.6%


Handicapping the handicapping

Goals scored per game: 2.8
Goals allowed per game: 2.6
Shots on goal per game: 30.6
Shots allowed per game: 26.2

Shooting percentage for: 9.0%
Shooting percentage against: 9.8%

Overtime results: 8-9 -3.03 (3-4 ot/5-5 so)

Losses where my team outshot opponent: 22
Wins where my team got outshot by opponent: 8


Comments: I've had 63 wagers involving 64 teams (1 two-team parlay). 48 of these 64 teams had as many or more shots than their opponent (75%).


Tonight's matchups. 8 different statistical ratings (+/-) factoring strength of schedule and an overall number in blue at the end. This is for informational purposes and not my sole means of capping:

Columbus 0.1 0.1 1.6 1.8 7.2 0.1 2.3 0.3 4.3
Pittsburgh 0.9 0.3 1.4 0.3 3.9 1.8 1.8 0.5 4.6
Philadelphia 0.2 0.1 0.7 0.1 1.1 2.3 0.3 0.9 -0.6
Ottawa 0.6 0.7 0.3 1.2 4.5 1.5 2.9 2.1 -10.8
NY Islanders 1.1 0.8 0.6 0.8 2.2 1.2 4.6 3.3 -9.4
Anaheim 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.8 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.1 1.7
Carolina 0.2 0.1 0.5 1.8 3.1 1.2 1.9 0.1 -5.3
Vancouver 0.5 0.4 0.7 0.6 4.9 1.3 0.2 1.0 5.8


Tonight's plays

Anaheim -1 -122
Vancouver -145

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